Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 53% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultToledo to win ✓75% · @1.20
Double chanceToledo or draw ✓93% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Toledo vs Huracán Balazote: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Toledo welcome Huracán Balazote for a Tercera División RFEF Group 18 fixture on Sunday 11 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Toledo are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 10 matches; Huracán Balazote are 16th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Toledo, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Villacañas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Huracán Balazote, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to San Clemente, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Toledo, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Huracán Balazote.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Huracán Balazote 0–1 Toledo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toledo 2.8 xG, Huracán Balazote 0.8 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toledo 75%, draw 18%, Huracán Balazote 7%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.50.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Toledo to win (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toledo 2–0 Huracán Balazote. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toledo75%fair 1.33 · @1.20
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @5.00
Huracán Balazote7%fair 15.20 · @15.00
3.60Expected goals
2.76Toledo xG
0.84Huracán Balazote xG
53%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
3–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–08%
4–07%
From our goals model: Toledo 2.8 – 0.8 Huracán Balazote expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Toledo vs Huracán Balazote?
Our pick is Toledo to win with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Toledo vs Huracán Balazote?
On our numbers Toledo have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Huracán Balazote 7%.
How many goals will there be in Toledo vs Huracán Balazote?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toledo vs Huracán Balazote?
Our predicted score is Toledo 2–0 Huracán Balazote, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Toledo vs Huracán Balazote?
Toledo vs Huracán Balazote (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
