Harkemase Boys v Staphorst Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHarkemase Boys to win ✗62% · @1.67

Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.44

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38

Harkemase Boys vs Staphorst: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Harkemase Boys welcome Staphorst for a Derde Divisie Saturday fixture on Saturday 12 September (13:30 WAT). In the table, Harkemase Boys are 3rd, among the top four, on 26 points after 12 matches; Staphorst are 15th (upper half) with 9. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Harkemase Boys, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Eemdijk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Staphorst, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to SC Genemuiden, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Harkemase Boys, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.5 for Staphorst.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Harkemase Boys 2.2 xG, Staphorst 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Harkemase Boys 62%, draw 14%, Staphorst 25%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Harkemase Boys 2–1 Staphorst. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Harkemase Boys62%fair 1.62 · @1.67

Draw14%fair 7.29 · @4.10

Staphorst25%fair 4.05 · @3.70

3.41Expected goals

2.16Harkemase Boys xG

1.25Staphorst xG

55%Both score

65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

1–19%

2–08%

1–07%

3–17%

2–26%

From our goals model: Harkemase Boys 2.2 – 1.2 Staphorst expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Harkemase Boys to win ✗	62%	1.62	1.67
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	86%	1.16	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.83	–
Draw no bet	Harkemase Boys (draw no bet)	71%	1.40	–
Asian handicap	Staphorst +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	85%	1.17	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	65%	1.53	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	56%	1.80	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	–
First team to score	Harkemase Boys to score first ✓	61%	1.63	–
Half-time result	Harkemase Boys ahead at half-time ✓	44%	2.28	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Harkemase Boys / FT Harkemase Boys ✗	37%	2.68	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.38	–

Harkemase Boys – last 6

WLWWWW

5 Sep	@ Eemdijk	2–1	W
1 Sep	vs Excelsior '31	0–1	L
29 Aug	vs Hercules	5–3	W
22 Aug	@ DVS 33 Ermelo	1–0	W
15 Aug	vs Hollandia	2–1	W
23 May	vs Sportlust '46	4–1	W

2.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Staphorst – last 6

LDDLDL

5 Sep	vs SC Genemuiden	1–2	L
2 Sep	vs UNA	1–1	D
29 Aug	@ ADO '20	0–0	D
22 Aug	vs Excelsior '31	2–4	L
15 Aug	@ Dovo	2–2	D
4 Apr	vs Sportlust '46	0–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ACV	12	8	3	1	+19	27
2	VV Scherpenzeel	12	8	3	1	+10	27
3	Harkemase Boys	12	8	2	2	+9	26
4	TEC	12	7	3	2	+15	24
5	Excelsior '31	12	7	1	4	+12	22
6	SC Genemuiden	12	7	1	4	+6	22
7	Sportlust '46	12	6	4	2	+3	22
8	Purmersteijn	12	6	3	3	+7	21
9	Sparta Nijkerk	12	5	3	4	+3	18
10	ADO '20	12	5	2	5	-1	17
11	Hercules	12	5	1	6	-6	16
12	Hoogeveen	12	4	2	6	-1	14
13	Eemdijk	12	4	1	7	-12	13
14	DVS 33 Ermelo	12	2	3	7	-7	9
15	Staphorst	12	2	3	7	-10	9
16	Hollandia	12	2	2	8	-13	8
17	Dovo	12	1	4	7	-13	7
18	SVZW	12	0	1	11	-21	1
1	FC Lisse	12	10	1	1	+22	31
2	Noordwijk	12	10	1	1	+22	31
3	Excelsior Maassluis	12	8	2	2	+13	26
4	Rijnvogels	12	7	3	2	+16	24
5	Zwaluwen	12	7	1	4	0	22
6	Poortugaal	12	7	0	5	+4	21
7	UDI '19	12	6	2	4	+9	20
8	GOES	12	5	2	5	-4	17
9	Gemert	11	4	4	3	-1	16
10	Dongen	12	5	1	6	-2	16
11	Blauw Geel	12	4	3	5	-1	15
12	TOGB	12	3	3	6	-7	12
13	Roosendaal	11	3	2	6	-5	11
14	UNA	12	2	5	5	-6	11
15	Vvsb	12	3	2	7	-9	11
16	Groene Ster	12	2	3	7	-17	9
17	Achilles Veen	12	2	0	10	-20	6
18	EVV	12	0	3	9	-14	3

Team

Pts

+19

+10

+15

+12

-1

-6

-1

-12

-7

-10

-13

-13

-21

+22

+22

+13

+16

-4

-1

-2

-1

-7

-5

-6

-9

-17

-20

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Harkemase Boys vs Staphorst?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Harkemase Boys vs Staphorst?

On our numbers Harkemase Boys have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Staphorst 25%.

How many goals will there be in Harkemase Boys vs Staphorst?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Harkemase Boys vs Staphorst?

Our predicted score is Harkemase Boys 2–1 Staphorst, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Harkemase Boys vs Staphorst?

Harkemase Boys vs Staphorst (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Harkemase Boys v Staphorst: numbers & prediction