Groene Ster v Zwaluwen Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGroene Ster to win ✓40% · @2.50

Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.50

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.45

Groene Ster vs Zwaluwen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Zwaluwen travel to face Groene Ster on Saturday 12 September in the Derde Divisie Saturday – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Groene Ster are 16th, upper half, on 9 points after 12 matches; Zwaluwen are 5th (upper half) with 22. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Groene Ster, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with TOGB, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Zwaluwen, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over UDI '19, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Groene Ster 1.8 xG, Zwaluwen 1.8 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Groene Ster 40%, draw 19%, Zwaluwen 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Groene Ster 2–1 Zwaluwen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Groene Ster40%fair 2.48 · @2.50

Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.80

Zwaluwen40%fair 2.48 · @2.20

3.55Expected goals

1.78Groene Ster xG

1.78Zwaluwen xG

55%Both score

66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%

2–18%

1–28%

2–27%

1–05%

0–15%

From our goals model: Groene Ster 1.8 – 1.8 Zwaluwen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Groene Ster to win ✓	40%	2.48	2.50
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	81%	1.24	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	55%	1.82	–
Draw no bet	Groene Ster (draw no bet) ✓	50%	2.00	–
Asian handicap	Zwaluwen +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	87%	1.15	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	66%	1.52	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	53%	1.90	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	72%	1.40	–
First team to score	Groene Ster to score first ✓	49%	2.06	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	36%	2.79	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Groene Ster / FT Groene Ster ✓	23%	4.27	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.45	–

Groene Ster – last 6

DWDLLW

5 Sep	@ TOGB	3–3	D
2 Sep	vs Heerjansdam	2–1	W
30 Aug	vs Vvsb	3–3	D
22 Aug	@ Excelsior Maassluis	1–3	L
16 Aug	vs Roosendaal	1–3	L
23 May	vs ASWH	3–1	W

2.2Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Zwaluwen – last 5

WWLDL

5 Sep	vs UDI '19	1–0	W
2 Sep	@ Lierop	7–0	W
29 Aug	@ Poortugaal	1–3	L
22 Aug	vs UNA	1–1	D
15 Aug	@ Dongen	0–4	L

2.0Scored / game

1.6Conceded / game

40%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ACV	12	8	3	1	+19	27
2	VV Scherpenzeel	12	8	3	1	+10	27
3	Harkemase Boys	12	8	2	2	+9	26
4	TEC	12	7	3	2	+15	24
5	Excelsior '31	12	7	1	4	+12	22
6	SC Genemuiden	12	7	1	4	+6	22
7	Sportlust '46	12	6	4	2	+3	22
8	Purmersteijn	12	6	3	3	+7	21
9	Sparta Nijkerk	12	5	3	4	+3	18
10	ADO '20	12	5	2	5	-1	17
11	Hercules	12	5	1	6	-6	16
12	Hoogeveen	12	4	2	6	-1	14
13	Eemdijk	12	4	1	7	-12	13
14	DVS 33 Ermelo	12	2	3	7	-7	9
15	Staphorst	12	2	3	7	-10	9
16	Hollandia	12	2	2	8	-13	8
17	Dovo	12	1	4	7	-13	7
18	SVZW	12	0	1	11	-21	1
1	FC Lisse	12	10	1	1	+22	31
2	Noordwijk	12	10	1	1	+22	31
3	Excelsior Maassluis	12	8	2	2	+13	26
4	Rijnvogels	12	7	3	2	+16	24
5	Zwaluwen	12	7	1	4	0	22
6	Poortugaal	12	7	0	5	+4	21
7	UDI '19	12	6	2	4	+9	20
8	GOES	12	5	2	5	-4	17
9	Gemert	11	4	4	3	-1	16
10	Dongen	12	5	1	6	-2	16
11	Blauw Geel	12	4	3	5	-1	15
12	TOGB	12	3	3	6	-7	12
13	Roosendaal	11	3	2	6	-5	11
14	UNA	12	2	5	5	-6	11
15	Vvsb	12	3	2	7	-9	11
16	Groene Ster	12	2	3	7	-17	9
17	Achilles Veen	12	2	0	10	-20	6
18	EVV	12	0	3	9	-14	3

Team

Pts

+19

+10

+15

+12

-1

-6

-1

-12

-7

-10

-13

-13

-21

+22

+22

+13

+16

-4

-1

-2

-1

-7

-5

-6

-9

-17

-20

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Groene Ster vs Zwaluwen?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Groene Ster vs Zwaluwen?

On our numbers Groene Ster have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Zwaluwen 40%.

How many goals will there be in Groene Ster vs Zwaluwen?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Groene Ster vs Zwaluwen?

Our predicted score is Groene Ster 2–1 Zwaluwen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Groene Ster vs Zwaluwen?

Groene Ster vs Zwaluwen (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Groene Ster v Zwaluwen: numbers & prediction