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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hoogeveen v Excelsior '31: numbers & prediction

Derde Divisie Saturday · Netherlands
0–2
FT
Hoogeveen 36%Draw 18%Excelsior '31 46% Expected goals 1.84 – 2.08
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultExcelsior '31 to win ✓46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.67

Hoogeveen vs Excelsior '31: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 19 September the Derde Divisie Saturday brings Hoogeveen against Excelsior '31. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Hoogeveen are 12th, upper half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Excelsior '31 are 5th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Hoogeveen, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Dovo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Excelsior '31, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Purmersteijn, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Excelsior '31, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Hoogeveen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hoogeveen 1.8 xG, Excelsior '31 2.1 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hoogeveen 36%, draw 18%, Excelsior '31 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hoogeveen 1–2 Excelsior '31. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hoogeveen36%fair 2.77 · @2.40
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @4.00
Excelsior '3146%fair 2.20 · @2.25
3.92Expected goals
1.84Hoogeveen xG
2.08Excelsior '31 xG
60%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%

From our goals model: Hoogeveen 1.8 – 2.1 Excelsior '31 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultExcelsior '31 to win ✓46%2.202.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.231.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.67–
Draw no betExcelsior '31 (draw no bet) ✓56%1.79–
Asian handicapHoogeveen +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72%1.391.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗55%1.81–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓64%1.55–
First team to scoreExcelsior '31 to score first ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultExcelsior '31 ahead at half-time ✓36%2.77–
Half-time / full-timeHT Excelsior '31 / FT Excelsior '31 ✓27%3.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.67–

Recent results

Hoogeveen – last 6

WDDLLW
12 Sep@ Dovo4–1W
5 Sep@ Sportlust '462–2D
2 Sepvs SVZW1–1D
30 Augvs Purmersteijn1–3L
22 Aug@ VV Scherpenzeel1–2L
15 Augvs SVZW4–3W
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Excelsior '31 – last 6

DLWWWW
12 Sepvs Purmersteijn1–1D
5 Sep@ VV Scherpenzeel1–3L
1 Sep@ Harkemase Boys1–0W
29 Augvs SVZW4–0W
22 Aug@ Staphorst4–2W
15 Augvs Eemdijk4–0W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hoogeveen and Excelsior '31.

Hoogeveen vs Excelsior '31 head-to-head page →

Derde Divisie Saturday table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ACV12831+1927
2VV Scherpenzeel12831+1027
3Harkemase Boys12822+926
4TEC12732+1524
5Excelsior '3112714+1222
6SC Genemuiden12714+622
7Sportlust '4612642+322
8Purmersteijn12633+721
9Sparta Nijkerk12534+318
10ADO '2012525-117
11Hercules12516-616
12Hoogeveen12426-114
13Eemdijk12417-1213
14DVS 33 Ermelo12237-79
15Staphorst12237-109
16Hollandia12228-138
17Dovo12147-137
18SVZW120111-211
1FC Lisse121011+2231
2Noordwijk121011+2231
3Excelsior Maassluis12822+1326
4Rijnvogels12732+1624
5Zwaluwen12714022
6Poortugaal12705+421
7UDI '1912624+920
8GOES12525-417
9Gemert11443-116
10Dongen12516-216
11Blauw Geel12435-115
12TOGB12336-712
13Roosendaal11326-511
14UNA12255-611
15Vvsb12327-911
16Groene Ster12237-179
17Achilles Veen122010-206
18EVV12039-143

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hoogeveen vs Excelsior '31?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Hoogeveen vs Excelsior '31?

On our numbers Hoogeveen have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Excelsior '31 46%.

How many goals will there be in Hoogeveen vs Excelsior '31?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hoogeveen vs Excelsior '31?

Our predicted score is Hoogeveen 1–2 Excelsior '31, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Hoogeveen vs Excelsior '31?

Hoogeveen vs Excelsior '31 (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.