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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

EVV v Groene Ster: numbers & prediction

Derde Divisie Saturday · Netherlands

EVV

LLWLL
1–1
FT
EVV 40%Draw 19%Groene Ster 41% Expected goals 1.86 – 1.90
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultGroene Ster to win ✗41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.81

EVV vs Groene Ster: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Groene Ster travel to face EVV on Saturday 19 September in the Derde Divisie Saturday – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, EVV are 18th, upper half, on 3 points after 12 matches; Groene Ster are 16th (upper half) with 9.

Current form

EVV, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to UDI '19, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Groene Ster, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Zwaluwen, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Groene Ster, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for EVV.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give EVV 1.9 xG, Groene Ster 1.9 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – EVV 40%, draw 19%, Groene Ster 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: EVV 1–2 Groene Ster. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

EVV40%fair 2.53 · @2.30
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.80
Groene Ster41%fair 2.44 · @2.40
3.76Expected goals
1.86EVV xG
1.90Groene Ster xG
57%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
3–15%

From our goals model: EVV 1.9 – 1.9 Groene Ster expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGroene Ster to win ✗41%2.442.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.24–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.74–
Draw no betGroene Ster (draw no bet)51%1.96–
Asian handicapEVV +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69%1.461.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
First team to scoreGroene Ster to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓35%2.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Groene Ster / FT Groene Ster ✗24%4.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.81–

Recent results

EVV – last 6

LLWLLL
13 Sep@ UDI '191–4L
5 Sepvs Poortugaal0–1L
2 Sep@ Hercules3–1W
30 Aug@ UNA1–4L
23 Augvs Dongen2–3L
16 Aug@ GOES2–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Groene Ster – last 6

WDWDLL
12 Sepvs Zwaluwen1–0W
5 Sep@ TOGB3–3D
2 Sepvs Heerjansdam2–1W
30 Augvs Vvsb3–3D
22 Aug@ Excelsior Maassluis1–3L
16 Augvs Roosendaal1–3L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between EVV and Groene Ster.

EVV vs Groene Ster head-to-head page →

Derde Divisie Saturday table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ACV12831+1927
2VV Scherpenzeel12831+1027
3Harkemase Boys12822+926
4TEC12732+1524
5Excelsior '3112714+1222
6SC Genemuiden12714+622
7Sportlust '4612642+322
8Purmersteijn12633+721
9Sparta Nijkerk12534+318
10ADO '2012525-117
11Hercules12516-616
12Hoogeveen12426-114
13Eemdijk12417-1213
14DVS 33 Ermelo12237-79
15Staphorst12237-109
16Hollandia12228-138
17Dovo12147-137
18SVZW120111-211
1FC Lisse121011+2231
2Noordwijk121011+2231
3Excelsior Maassluis12822+1326
4Rijnvogels12732+1624
5Zwaluwen12714022
6Poortugaal12705+421
7UDI '1912624+920
8GOES12525-417
9Gemert11443-116
10Dongen12516-216
11Blauw Geel12435-115
12TOGB12336-712
13Roosendaal11326-511
14UNA12255-611
15Vvsb12327-911
16Groene Ster12237-179
17Achilles Veen122010-206
18EVV12039-143

More Derde Divisie Saturday predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for EVV vs Groene Ster?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win EVV vs Groene Ster?

On our numbers EVV have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Groene Ster 41%.

How many goals will there be in EVV vs Groene Ster?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for EVV vs Groene Ster?

Our predicted score is EVV 1–2 Groene Ster, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is EVV vs Groene Ster?

EVV vs Groene Ster (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.