Hollandia v Hercules Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHercules to win ✓43% · @2.50

Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.60

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.39

Hollandia vs Hercules: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hercules travel to face Hollandia on Sunday 27 September in the Derde Divisie Saturday – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Hollandia are 16th, upper half, on 8 points after 12 matches; Hercules are 11th (upper half) with 16.

Current form

Hollandia, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to DVS 33 Ermelo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Hercules, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to TEC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hollandia 2.1 xG, Hercules 2.2 xG – a total near 4.3. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hollandia 37%, draw 20%, Hercules 43%.
Price worth noting: Hercules to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hollandia 2–2 Hercules. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hollandia37%fair 2.68 · @2.25

Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.75

Hercules43%fair 2.32 · @2.50

4.31Expected goals

2.08Hollandia xG

2.24Hercules xG

63%Both score

75%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–27%

1–27%

2–16%

1–16%

2–35%

1–35%

From our goals model: Hollandia 2.1 – 2.2 Hercules expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Hercules to win ✓	43%	2.32	2.50 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	80%	1.24	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	63%	1.60	–
Draw no bet	Hercules (draw no bet) ✓	54%	1.86	–
Asian handicap	Hollandia +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	69%	1.44	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	93%	1.08	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	57%	1.76	–
First team to score	Hercules to score first ✓	51%	1.96	–
Half-time result	Hercules ahead at half-time ✓	36%	2.78	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Hercules / FT Hercules ✓	27%	3.73	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	7%	14.39	–

Hollandia – last 6

LLLDDL

19 Sep	@ DVS 33 Ermelo	1–2	L
12 Sep	vs Sportlust '46	2–4	L
6 Sep	vs TEC	4–5	L
2 Sep	vs Halsteren	1–1	D
29 Aug	@ Sparta Nijkerk	5–5	D
22 Aug	vs ACV	0–2	L

2.2Scored / game

3.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Hercules – last 6

LWLLLL

20 Sep	vs TEC	2–4	L
12 Sep	@ Sparta Nijkerk	2–1	W
5 Sep	vs ACV	0–3	L
2 Sep	vs EVV	1–3	L
29 Aug	@ Harkemase Boys	3–5	L
22 Aug	vs SC Genemuiden	0–4	L

1.3Scored / game

3.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ACV	12	8	3	1	+19	27
2	VV Scherpenzeel	12	8	3	1	+10	27
3	Harkemase Boys	12	8	2	2	+9	26
4	TEC	12	7	3	2	+15	24
5	Excelsior '31	12	7	1	4	+12	22
6	SC Genemuiden	12	7	1	4	+6	22
7	Sportlust '46	12	6	4	2	+3	22
8	Purmersteijn	12	6	3	3	+7	21
9	Sparta Nijkerk	12	5	3	4	+3	18
10	ADO '20	12	5	2	5	-1	17
11	Hercules	12	5	1	6	-6	16
12	Hoogeveen	12	4	2	6	-1	14
13	Eemdijk	12	4	1	7	-12	13
14	DVS 33 Ermelo	12	2	3	7	-7	9
15	Staphorst	12	2	3	7	-10	9
16	Hollandia	12	2	2	8	-13	8
17	Dovo	12	1	4	7	-13	7
18	SVZW	12	0	1	11	-21	1
1	FC Lisse	12	10	1	1	+22	31
2	Noordwijk	12	10	1	1	+22	31
3	Excelsior Maassluis	12	8	2	2	+13	26
4	Rijnvogels	12	7	3	2	+16	24
5	Zwaluwen	12	7	1	4	0	22
6	Poortugaal	12	7	0	5	+4	21
7	UDI '19	12	6	2	4	+9	20
8	GOES	12	5	2	5	-4	17
9	Gemert	11	4	4	3	-1	16
10	Dongen	12	5	1	6	-2	16
11	Blauw Geel	12	4	3	5	-1	15
12	TOGB	12	3	3	6	-7	12
13	Roosendaal	11	3	2	6	-5	11
14	UNA	12	2	5	5	-6	11
15	Vvsb	12	3	2	7	-9	11
16	Groene Ster	12	2	3	7	-17	9
17	Achilles Veen	12	2	0	10	-20	6
18	EVV	12	0	3	9	-14	3

Team

Pts

+19

+10

+15

+12

-1

-6

-1

-12

-7

-10

-13

-13

-21

+22

+22

+13

+16

-4

-1

-2

-1

-7

-5

-6

-9

-17

-20

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hollandia vs Hercules?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Hollandia vs Hercules?

On our numbers Hollandia have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hercules 43%.

How many goals will there be in Hollandia vs Hercules?

We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hollandia vs Hercules?

Our predicted score is Hollandia 2–2 Hercules, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.

When is Hollandia vs Hercules?

Hollandia vs Hercules (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Hollandia v Hercules: numbers & prediction