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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Blauw Geel v UNA: numbers & prediction

Derde Divisie Saturday · Netherlands
1–1
FT

UNA

DLLDD
Blauw Geel 42%Draw 19%UNA 38% Expected goals 1.62 – 1.53
62%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultBlauw Geel to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61

Blauw Geel vs UNA: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 4 October the Derde Divisie Saturday brings Blauw Geel against UNA. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Blauw Geel are 11th, upper half, on 15 points after 12 matches; UNA are 14th (upper half) with 11.

Current form

Blauw Geel, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Excelsior Maassluis, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

UNA, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Dongen, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Blauw Geel 0–2 UNA.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Blauw Geel 1.6 xG, UNA 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Blauw Geel 42%, draw 19%, UNA 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Blauw Geel 2–1 UNA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Blauw Geel42%fair 2.36 · @2.30
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.80
UNA38%fair 2.61 · @2.40
3.15Expected goals
1.62Blauw Geel xG
1.53UNA xG
53%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–17%

From our goals model: Blauw Geel 1.6 – 1.5 UNA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBlauw Geel to win ✗42%2.362.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.89–
Draw no betBlauw Geel (draw no bet)53%1.90–
Asian handicapUNA +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.621.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreBlauw Geel to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.59–
Half-time / full-timeHT Blauw Geel / FT Blauw Geel ✗24%4.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.61–

Recent results

Blauw Geel – last 6

LWWDLL
26 Sep@ Excelsior Maassluis0–1L
20 Sepvs Dongen3–1W
12 Sep@ Roosendaal3–1W
6 Sepvs GOES2–2D
1 Sep@ Sportlust '461–3L
29 Aug@ Achilles Veen2–3L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

UNA – last 6

DLLDDW
27 Sepvs Dongen2–2D
20 Sep@ GOES1–2L
13 Sepvs Rijnvogels1–4L
6 Sep@ Gemert1–1D
2 Sep@ Staphorst1–1D
30 Augvs EVV4–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Blauw Geel v UNA0–2
Blauw Geel vs UNA head-to-head page →

Derde Divisie Saturday table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ACV12831+1927
2VV Scherpenzeel12831+1027
3Harkemase Boys12822+926
4TEC12732+1524
5Excelsior '3112714+1222
6SC Genemuiden12714+622
7Sportlust '4612642+322
8Purmersteijn12633+721
9Sparta Nijkerk12534+318
10ADO '2012525-117
11Hercules12516-616
12Hoogeveen12426-114
13Eemdijk12417-1213
14DVS 33 Ermelo12237-79
15Staphorst12237-109
16Hollandia12228-138
17Dovo12147-137
18SVZW120111-211
1FC Lisse121011+2231
2Noordwijk121011+2231
3Excelsior Maassluis12822+1326
4Rijnvogels12732+1624
5Zwaluwen12714022
6Poortugaal12705+421
7UDI '1912624+920
8GOES12525-417
9Gemert11443-116
10Dongen12516-216
11Blauw Geel12435-115
12TOGB12336-712
13Roosendaal11326-511
14UNA12255-611
15Vvsb12327-911
16Groene Ster12237-179
17Achilles Veen122010-206
18EVV12039-143

More Derde Divisie Saturday predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Blauw Geel vs UNA?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Blauw Geel vs UNA?

On our numbers Blauw Geel have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 19% and UNA 38%.

How many goals will there be in Blauw Geel vs UNA?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Blauw Geel vs UNA?

Our predicted score is Blauw Geel 2–1 UNA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Blauw Geel vs UNA?

Blauw Geel vs UNA (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.