Gemert v FC Lisse Prediction & Expected Goals (4 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGemert to win ✗41% · @2.35

Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.87

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72

Gemert vs FC Lisse: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gemert welcome FC Lisse for a Derde Divisie Saturday fixture on Sunday 4 October (13:00 WAT). In the table, Gemert are 9th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; FC Lisse are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gemert, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Groene Ster, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

FC Lisse, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with EVV, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Gemert, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for FC Lisse.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Gemert 1–1 FC Lisse.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gemert 1.5 xG, FC Lisse 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Gemert 41%, draw 20%, FC Lisse 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gemert 2–1 FC Lisse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gemert41%fair 2.44 · @2.35

Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.60

FC Lisse39%fair 2.57 · @2.50

2.93Expected goals

1.49Gemert xG

1.44FC Lisse xG

54%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–28%

1–08%

0–18%

2–26%

From our goals model: Gemert 1.5 – 1.4 FC Lisse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Gemert to win ✗	41%	2.44	2.35
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	80%	1.25	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	54%	1.87	–
Draw no bet	Gemert (draw no bet) ✗	51%	1.95	–
Asian handicap	FC Lisse +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.78	1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	83%	1.21	–
First team to score	Gemert to score first ✗	48%	2.08	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.49	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Gemert / FT Gemert ✗	23%	4.39	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.72	–

Gemert – last 6

WWDWDW

27 Sep	@ Groene Ster	2–1	W
23 Sep	@ Ijsselmeervogels	3–0	W
20 Sep	vs UDI '19	1–1	D
12 Sep	@ Poortugaal	2–1	W
6 Sep	vs UNA	1–1	D
2 Sep	@ FC 's-Gravenzande	2–0	W

1.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

FC Lisse – last 6

DLWWLW

26 Sep	vs EVV	1–1	D
19 Sep	@ Zwaluwen	0–1	L
12 Sep	vs TOGB	3–2	W
5 Sep	@ Vvsb	2–1	W
1 Sep	@ SC Genemuiden	1–2	L
29 Aug	vs Excelsior Maassluis	1–0	W

1.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ACV	12	8	3	1	+19	27
2	VV Scherpenzeel	12	8	3	1	+10	27
3	Harkemase Boys	12	8	2	2	+9	26
4	TEC	12	7	3	2	+15	24
5	Excelsior '31	12	7	1	4	+12	22
6	SC Genemuiden	12	7	1	4	+6	22
7	Sportlust '46	12	6	4	2	+3	22
8	Purmersteijn	12	6	3	3	+7	21
9	Sparta Nijkerk	12	5	3	4	+3	18
10	ADO '20	12	5	2	5	-1	17
11	Hercules	12	5	1	6	-6	16
12	Hoogeveen	12	4	2	6	-1	14
13	Eemdijk	12	4	1	7	-12	13
14	DVS 33 Ermelo	12	2	3	7	-7	9
15	Staphorst	12	2	3	7	-10	9
16	Hollandia	12	2	2	8	-13	8
17	Dovo	12	1	4	7	-13	7
18	SVZW	12	0	1	11	-21	1
1	FC Lisse	12	10	1	1	+22	31
2	Noordwijk	12	10	1	1	+22	31
3	Excelsior Maassluis	12	8	2	2	+13	26
4	Rijnvogels	12	7	3	2	+16	24
5	Zwaluwen	12	7	1	4	0	22
6	Poortugaal	12	7	0	5	+4	21
7	UDI '19	12	6	2	4	+9	20
8	GOES	12	5	2	5	-4	17
9	Gemert	11	4	4	3	-1	16
10	Dongen	12	5	1	6	-2	16
11	Blauw Geel	12	4	3	5	-1	15
12	TOGB	12	3	3	6	-7	12
13	Roosendaal	11	3	2	6	-5	11
14	UNA	12	2	5	5	-6	11
15	Vvsb	12	3	2	7	-9	11
16	Groene Ster	12	2	3	7	-17	9
17	Achilles Veen	12	2	0	10	-20	6
18	EVV	12	0	3	9	-14	3

Team

Pts

+19

+10

+15

+12

-1

-6

-1

-12

-7

-10

-13

-13

-21

+22

+22

+13

+16

-4

-1

-2

-1

-7

-5

-6

-9

-17

-20

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gemert vs FC Lisse?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Gemert vs FC Lisse?

On our numbers Gemert have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Lisse 39%.

How many goals will there be in Gemert vs FC Lisse?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gemert vs FC Lisse?

Our predicted score is Gemert 2–1 FC Lisse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Gemert vs FC Lisse?

Gemert vs FC Lisse (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Gemert v FC Lisse: numbers & prediction

Gemert

FC Lisse

Over 2.5 goals

Picks by market

Gemert vs FC Lisse: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Head to head

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Gemert – last 6

FC Lisse – last 6

Head to head

Derde Divisie Saturday table

More Derde Divisie Saturday predictions

Frequently asked questions