Harkemase Boys v Hoogeveen Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHarkemase Boys to win ✓62% · @1.73

Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.90

Harkemase Boys vs Hoogeveen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 10 October the Derde Divisie Saturday brings Harkemase Boys against Hoogeveen. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Harkemase Boys are 3rd, among the top four, on 26 points after 12 matches; Hoogeveen are 12th (upper half) with 14. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Harkemase Boys, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Purmersteijn, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Hoogeveen, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 5–3 win over SC Genemuiden, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Harkemase Boys 2.4 xG, Hoogeveen 1.3 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Harkemase Boys 62%, draw 17%, Hoogeveen 21%.
Price worth noting: Harkemase Boys to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Harkemase Boys 2–1 Hoogeveen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Harkemase Boys62%fair 1.62 · @1.73

Draw17%fair 5.79 · @4.20

Hoogeveen21%fair 4.77 · @3.30

3.74Expected goals

2.40Harkemase Boys xG

1.34Hoogeveen xG

56%Both score

69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%

1–18%

3–17%

2–07%

2–26%

1–06%

From our goals model: Harkemase Boys 2.4 – 1.3 Hoogeveen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Harkemase Boys to win ✓	62%	1.62	1.73 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	83%	1.21	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	56%	1.79	–
Draw no bet	Harkemase Boys (draw no bet) ✓	75%	1.34	–
Asian handicap	Harkemase Boys -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	89%	1.13	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	51%	1.95	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	68%	1.47	–
First team to score	Harkemase Boys to score first	63%	1.59	–
Half-time result	Harkemase Boys ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.16	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Harkemase Boys / FT Harkemase Boys ✗	40%	2.51	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	9%	10.90	–

Harkemase Boys – last 6

LDWDWL

3 Oct	@ Purmersteijn	2–4	L
26 Sep	vs VV Scherpenzeel	0–0	D
19 Sep	@ SVZW	2–1	W
12 Sep	vs Staphorst	1–1	D
5 Sep	@ Eemdijk	2–1	W
1 Sep	vs Excelsior '31	0–1	L

1.2Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Hoogeveen – last 6

WWLLWD

3 Oct	vs SC Genemuiden	5–3	W
27 Sep	@ ADO '20	5–1	W
22 Sep	@ ACV	1–2	L
19 Sep	vs Excelsior '31	0–2	L
12 Sep	@ Dovo	4–1	W
5 Sep	@ Sportlust '46	2–2	D

2.8Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ACV	12	8	3	1	+19	27
2	VV Scherpenzeel	12	8	3	1	+10	27
3	Harkemase Boys	12	8	2	2	+9	26
4	TEC	12	7	3	2	+15	24
5	Excelsior '31	12	7	1	4	+12	22
6	SC Genemuiden	12	7	1	4	+6	22
7	Sportlust '46	12	6	4	2	+3	22
8	Purmersteijn	12	6	3	3	+7	21
9	Sparta Nijkerk	12	5	3	4	+3	18
10	ADO '20	12	5	2	5	-1	17
11	Hercules	12	5	1	6	-6	16
12	Hoogeveen	12	4	2	6	-1	14
13	Eemdijk	12	4	1	7	-12	13
14	DVS 33 Ermelo	12	2	3	7	-7	9
15	Staphorst	12	2	3	7	-10	9
16	Hollandia	12	2	2	8	-13	8
17	Dovo	12	1	4	7	-13	7
18	SVZW	12	0	1	11	-21	1
1	FC Lisse	12	10	1	1	+22	31
2	Noordwijk	12	10	1	1	+22	31
3	Excelsior Maassluis	12	8	2	2	+13	26
4	Rijnvogels	12	7	3	2	+16	24
5	Zwaluwen	12	7	1	4	0	22
6	Poortugaal	12	7	0	5	+4	21
7	UDI '19	12	6	2	4	+9	20
8	GOES	12	5	2	5	-4	17
9	Gemert	11	4	4	3	-1	16
10	Dongen	12	5	1	6	-2	16
11	Blauw Geel	12	4	3	5	-1	15
12	TOGB	12	3	3	6	-7	12
13	Roosendaal	11	3	2	6	-5	11
14	UNA	12	2	5	5	-6	11
15	Vvsb	12	3	2	7	-9	11
16	Groene Ster	12	2	3	7	-17	9
17	Achilles Veen	12	2	0	10	-20	6
18	EVV	12	0	3	9	-14	3

Team

Pts

+19

+10

+15

+12

-1

-6

-1

-12

-7

-10

-13

-13

-21

+22

+22

+13

+16

-4

-1

-2

-1

-7

-5

-6

-9

-17

-20

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Harkemase Boys vs Hoogeveen?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Harkemase Boys vs Hoogeveen?

On our numbers Harkemase Boys have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Hoogeveen 21%.

How many goals will there be in Harkemase Boys vs Hoogeveen?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Harkemase Boys vs Hoogeveen?

Our predicted score is Harkemase Boys 2–1 Hoogeveen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Harkemase Boys vs Hoogeveen?

Harkemase Boys vs Hoogeveen (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Harkemase Boys v Hoogeveen: numbers & prediction