Value bet: Draw @ 2.90 – our chance 53% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +55%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✓53% · @2.90
Double chanceGimnástica Segoviana or draw ✓77% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✓14% · fair 7.39
RSD Alcalá vs Gimnástica Segoviana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:30 WAT, Wednesday 19 August: RSD Alcalá v Gimnástica Segoviana in the Friendlies Clubs.
Current form
RSD Alcalá, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CD Coria, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gimnástica Segoviana, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Unionistas de Salamanca, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours RSD Alcalá, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Gimnástica Segoviana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give RSD Alcalá 1.0 xG, Gimnástica Segoviana 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – RSD Alcalá 23%, draw 53%, Gimnástica Segoviana 24%.
Lower-risk option: Gimnástica Segoviana or draw (77%) at 1.44.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Draw @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gimnástica Segoviana or draw (77%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.30, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: RSD Alcalá 0–1 Gimnástica Segoviana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
RSD Alcalá23%fair 4.36 · @2.62
Draw53%fair 1.87 · @2.90
Gimnástica Segoviana24%fair 4.22 · @2.50
2.00Expected goals
0.99RSD Alcalá xG
1.01Gimnástica Segoviana xG
53%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: RSD Alcalá 1.0 – 1.0 Gimnástica Segoviana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
53%
1.87
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Gimnástica Segoviana or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.73
Draw no bet
Gimnástica Segoviana (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
RSD Alcalá +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Gimnástica Segoviana to score first✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✓
14%
7.39
–
Recent results
RSD Alcalá – last 6
LDWWWW
3 May
vs CD Coria
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Quintanar del Rey
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Rayo Vallecano II
3–0
W
12 Apr
@ Fuenlabrada
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Las Palmas II
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Rayo Majadahonda
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gimnástica Segoviana – last 6
LWLLWL
15 Aug
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Atlético Madrid II
2–0
W
5 Aug
vs Valladolid
0–3
L
3 May
@ Coruxo
1–3
L
26 Apr
vs Real Oviedo II
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Real Ávila
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RSD Alcalá and Gimnástica Segoviana.
What is the prediction for RSD Alcalá vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
Our pick is Gimnástica Segoviana or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
On our numbers RSD Alcalá have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Gimnástica Segoviana 24%.
How many goals will there be in RSD Alcalá vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RSD Alcalá vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
Our predicted score is RSD Alcalá 0–1 Gimnástica Segoviana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is RSD Alcalá vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
RSD Alcalá vs Gimnástica Segoviana (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.