Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Rentistas to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRentistas to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceRentistas or draw ✗81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Rentistas vs Tacuarembo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Rentistas v Tacuarembo in the Segunda División, played at Complejo Rentistas. In the table, Rentistas are 2nd, among the top four, on 40 points after 25 matches; Tacuarembo are 13th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rentistas, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Plaza Colonia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Tacuarembo, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Miramar, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Rentistas, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Tacuarembo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rentistas 1.5 xG, Tacuarembo 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rentistas 58%, draw 23%, Tacuarembo 19%.
Lower-risk option: Rentistas or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Rentistas to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rentistas or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rentistas 1–0 Tacuarembo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rentistas58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Tacuarembo19%fair 5.23 · @3.75
2.20Expected goals
1.50Rentistas xG
0.71Tacuarembo xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Rentistas 1.5 – 0.7 Tacuarembo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rentistas to win✗
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Rentistas or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.00
Draw no bet
Rentistas (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Tacuarembo +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Rentistas to score first✗
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rentistas / FT Rentistas✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.44
–
Recent results
Rentistas – last 6
DWDWLW
10 Aug
vs Plaza Colonia
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ La Luz
5–2
W
18 Jul
vs Cerrito
0–0
D
12 Jul
@ Atenas
3–1
W
4 Jul
vs Paysandu
1–2
L
27 Jun
@ Sportivo Huracan
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tacuarembo – last 6
DLLDLW
9 Aug
@ Miramar
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Plaza Colonia
0–2
L
13 Jul
@ La Luz
0–2
L
5 Jul
vs Cerrito
0–0
D
27 Jun
@ Atenas
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Paysandu
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rentistas and Tacuarembo.
What is the prediction for Rentistas vs Tacuarembo?
Our pick is Rentistas or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rentistas vs Tacuarembo?
On our numbers Rentistas have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tacuarembo 19%.
How many goals will there be in Rentistas vs Tacuarembo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rentistas vs Tacuarembo?
Our predicted score is Rentistas 1–0 Tacuarembo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Rentistas vs Tacuarembo?
Rentistas vs Tacuarembo (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Complejo Rentistas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
