Fenix 39%Draw 24%Plaza Colonia 37%Expected goals 1.15 – 1.10
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Plaza Colonia to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFenix to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.07
Fenix vs Plaza Colonia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Segunda División brings Fenix against Plaza Colonia at Parque Capurro. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Fenix are 11th, lower half, on 31 points after 25 matches; Plaza Colonia are 4th (among the top four) with 38.
Current form
Fenix, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with La Luz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Plaza Colonia, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rentistas, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fenix 1.1 xG, Plaza Colonia 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fenix 39%, draw 24%, Plaza Colonia 37%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Plaza Colonia to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fenix 1–1 Plaza Colonia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fenix39%fair 2.55 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Plaza Colonia37%fair 2.72 · @3.00
2.24Expected goals
1.15Fenix xG
1.10Plaza Colonia xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Fenix 1.1 – 1.1 Plaza Colonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fenix to win✗
39%
2.55
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Fenix (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Plaza Colonia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Fenix to score first
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fenix / FT Fenix✗
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.07
–
Recent results
Fenix – last 6
DDWLWL
8 Aug
vs La Luz
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Cerrito
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Atenas
1–0
W
13 Jul
@ Paysandu
0–1
L
5 Jul
vs Sportivo Huracan
2–0
W
27 Jun
@ Uruguay Montevideo
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Plaza Colonia – last 6
DWWLWL
10 Aug
@ Rentistas
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Miramar
3–0
W
25 Jul
@ Tacuarembo
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ CA River Plate
2–3
L
4 Jul
vs La Luz
1–0
W
28 Jun
@ Cerrito
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fenix and Plaza Colonia.
What is the prediction for Fenix vs Plaza Colonia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Fenix vs Plaza Colonia?
On our numbers Fenix have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Plaza Colonia 37%.
How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Plaza Colonia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Plaza Colonia?
Our predicted score is Fenix 1–1 Plaza Colonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Fenix vs Plaza Colonia?
Fenix vs Plaza Colonia (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
