Cerro 35%Draw 24%Albion FC 41%Expected goals 1.07 – 1.19
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: Cerro to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlbion FC to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.67
Cerro vs Albion FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Albion FC travel to face Cerro on Saturday 15 August in the Primera División Apertura – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Cerro are 9th, lower half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Albion FC are 12th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Cerro, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Danubio, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Albion FC, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Liverpool Montevideo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cerro, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Albion FC.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Feb 2026) it ended Albion FC 3–0 Cerro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerro 1.1 xG, Albion FC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro 35%, draw 24%, Albion FC 41%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Cerro to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro 1–1 Albion FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerro35%fair 2.87 · @3.20
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Albion FC41%fair 2.45 · @2.25
2.25Expected goals
1.07Cerro xG
1.19Albion FC xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Cerro 1.1 – 1.2 Albion FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Cerro vs Albion FC?
On our numbers Cerro have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Albion FC 41%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro vs Albion FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro vs Albion FC?
Our predicted score is Cerro 1–1 Albion FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cerro vs Albion FC?
Cerro vs Albion FC (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
