Wanderers vs Cerro Largo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Wanderers v Cerro Largo in the Primera División Apertura, played at Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera. In the table, Wanderers are 10th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Cerro Largo are 15th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Wanderers, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Defensor Sporting, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Cerro Largo, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Juventud, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Wanderers, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Cerro Largo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wanderers 1.4 xG, Cerro Largo 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wanderers 47%, draw 24%, Cerro Largo 28%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.83, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wanderers 1–1 Cerro Largo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wanderers47%fair 2.11 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.00
Cerro Largo28%fair 3.51 · @3.40
2.32Expected goals
1.35Wanderers xG
0.97Cerro Largo xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Wanderers 1.4 – 1.0 Cerro Largo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wanderers to win✗
47%
2.11
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Wanderers (draw no bet)
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Cerro Largo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Wanderers to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wanderers / FT Wanderers✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Wanderers – last 6
WLWWWD
9 Aug
@ Defensor Sporting
1–0
W
6 Aug
@ Penarol
1–5
L
31 Jul
@ Atletico Torque
2–0
W
17 Jul
@ Club Nacional
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Progreso
2–0
W
5 Jun
vs Danubio
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cerro Largo – last 6
DLWDDW
7 Aug
vs Juventud
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Penarol
0–3
L
25 Jul
@ Central Espanol
1–0
W
13 Jul
vs Defensor Sporting
1–1
D
8 Jun
@ Liverpool Montevideo
0–0
D
29 May
vs Cerro
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wanderers and Cerro Largo.
What is the prediction for Wanderers vs Cerro Largo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Wanderers vs Cerro Largo?
On our numbers Wanderers have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cerro Largo 28%.
How many goals will there be in Wanderers vs Cerro Largo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wanderers vs Cerro Largo?
Our predicted score is Wanderers 1–1 Cerro Largo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Wanderers vs Cerro Largo?
Wanderers vs Cerro Largo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
