Sutton Utd v Birmingham City U21 Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSutton Utd to win ✗62% · @1.50

Double chanceSutton Utd or draw ✓85% · @1.15

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06

Sutton Utd vs Birmingham City U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Tuesday 8 September: Sutton Utd v Birmingham City U21 in the National League Cup, played at VBS Community Stadium.

Current form

Sutton Utd, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Barrow, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Birmingham City U21, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Tottenham Hotspur U21, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sutton Utd, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Birmingham City U21.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sutton Utd 2.1 xG, Birmingham City U21 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sutton Utd 62%, draw 23%, Birmingham City U21 15%.
Lower-risk option: Sutton Utd or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sutton Utd to win (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sutton Utd 2–0 Birmingham City U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sutton Utd62%fair 1.62 · @1.50

Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.90

Birmingham City U2115%fair 6.48 · @4.80

3.00Expected goals

2.05Sutton Utd xG

0.95Birmingham City U21 xG

61%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%

1–010%

2–110%

1–110%

3–07%

3–17%

From our goals model: Sutton Utd 2.1 – 0.9 Birmingham City U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sutton Utd to win ✗	62%	1.62	1.50
Double chance	Sutton Utd or draw ✓	85%	1.18	1.15
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	61%	1.64	1.50
Draw no bet	Sutton Utd (draw no bet)	80%	1.25	–
Asian handicap	Sutton Utd -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	58%	1.73	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	65%	1.55	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.23	–
First team to score	Sutton Utd to score first ✓	65%	1.54	–
Half-time result	Sutton Utd ahead at half-time ✓	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sutton Utd / FT Sutton Utd ✗	40%	2.48	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.06	–

Sutton Utd – last 6

LLWWDW

5 Sep	@ Barrow	0–3	L
31 Aug	vs Wealdstone	0–2	L
28 Aug	@ Gateshead	1–0	W
22 Aug	vs Hartlepool	2–1	W
18 Aug	vs Leicester City U21	0–0	D
15 Aug	vs Altrincham	1–0	W

0.7Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Birmingham City U21 – last 6

DWLLDL

31 Aug	@ Tottenham Hotspur U21	3–3	D
18 Aug	@ Boston United	3–2	W
14 Aug	@ Swansea City U21	0–3	L
10 Apr	vs Ipswich Town U21	0–3	L
3 Apr	vs Everton U21	1–1	D
20 Mar	vs Manchester City U21	1–5	L

1.3Scored / game

2.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sutton Utd vs Birmingham City U21?

Our pick is Sutton Utd to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Sutton Utd vs Birmingham City U21?

On our numbers Sutton Utd have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Birmingham City U21 15%.

How many goals will there be in Sutton Utd vs Birmingham City U21?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sutton Utd vs Birmingham City U21?

Our predicted score is Sutton Utd 2–0 Birmingham City U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Sutton Utd vs Birmingham City U21?

Sutton Utd vs Birmingham City U21 (National League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at VBS Community Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sutton Utd v Birmingham City U21: numbers & prediction

Sutton Utd

Birmingham City U21

Sutton Utd to win