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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hartlepool v Newcastle United U21: numbers & prediction

National League Cup · England · Victoria Park

Hartlepool

WLLLL
1–2
FT

Newcastle United U21

WLLLW
Hartlepool 10%Draw 19%Newcastle United U21 70% Expected goals 1.55 – 3.45
69%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultNewcastle United U21 to win ✓70% · @1.30
Double chanceNewcastle United U21 or draw ✓90% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.62
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 13.98

Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Newcastle United U21 travel to face Hartlepool on Tuesday 13 October in the National League Cup, with Victoria Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.

Current form

Hartlepool, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Forest Green, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Newcastle United U21, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Luton Town U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Newcastle United U21, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Hartlepool.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hartlepool 1.5 xG, Newcastle United U21 3.5 xG – a total near 5.0. That is an open game on paper: 88% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hartlepool 10%, draw 19%, Newcastle United U21 70%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.45, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartlepool 1–3 Newcastle United U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hartlepool10%fair 9.80 · @5.80
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @5.50
Newcastle United U2170%fair 1.42 · @1.30
5.00Expected goals
1.55Hartlepool xG
3.45Newcastle United U21 xG
69%Both score
88%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–37%
1–26%
1–46%
2–36%
2–25%
2–45%

From our goals model: Hartlepool 1.5 – 3.5 Newcastle United U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNewcastle United U21 to win ✓70%1.421.30
Double chanceNewcastle United U21 or draw ✓90%1.111.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.451.62 ▲
Draw no betNewcastle United U21 (draw no bet) ✓87%1.14–
Asian handicapNewcastle United U21 -1 (Asian handicap)68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
First team to scoreNewcastle United U21 to score first69%1.46–
Half-time resultNewcastle United U21 ahead at half-time ✓57%1.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Newcastle United U21 / FT Newcastle United U21 ✓52%1.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7%13.98–

Recent results

Hartlepool – last 6

WLLLLL
10 Oct@ Forest Green4–2W
3 Octvs Tamworth0–1L
29 Sepvs Harrogate Town0–1L
26 Sep@ Scunthorpe1–4L
19 Sepvs Worthing1–3L
16 Sep@ Altrincham1–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Newcastle United U21 – last 6

WLLLWL
9 Octvs Luton Town U214–1W
6 Oct@ Solihull Moors1–2L
22 Sep@ Bradford1–2L
19 Sep@ Leeds United U210–2L
15 Sep@ York3–1W
8 Sep@ Boreham Wood1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hartlepool and Newcastle United U21.

Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21 head-to-head page →

More National League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Boston United5 Southampton U216 145%2.15X18%4.00237%2.55 1.8–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT FC Halifax Town4 Stoke City U212 174%1.20X18%7.0028%8.00 3.1–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.44 ✓
FT Scunthorpe2 Derby County U212 Pens 4–3 166%1.50X18%4.00215%5.00 3.1–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 70%@1.44 ✓
FT Solihull Moors1 Everton U210 134%2.40X21%3.40245%2.40 1.5–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.44 ✗
FT Sutton Utd3 West Bromwich Albion U212 160%1.83X20%3.50221%3.40 1.1–0.4xG 1Sutton Utd to win 60%@1.83 ✓
FT Truro City3 Birmingham City U210 162%1.57X23%3.80215%4.50 2.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.40 ✗
FT Braintree2 West Ham United U214 123%3.30X17%3.60260%1.83 1.1–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.36 ✓
FT Aldershot Town5 Norwich City U213 129%2.70X21%3.40250%2.15 1.2–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21?

On our numbers Hartlepool have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Newcastle United U21 70%.

How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21?

We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21?

Our predicted score is Hartlepool 1–3 Newcastle United U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.

When is Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21?

Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21 (National League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Victoria Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.