Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Scunthorpe welcome Derby County U21 to Attis Arena for a National League Cup fixture on Tuesday 13 October (19:00 WAT).
Current form
Scunthorpe, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to AFC Fylde, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Derby County U21, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Brentford U21, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Scunthorpe 3.1 xG, Derby County U21 1.6 xG – a total near 4.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 85% and GG at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Scunthorpe 66%, draw 18%, Derby County U21 15%.
Lower-risk option: Scunthorpe or draw (85%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Scunthorpe 3–1 Derby County U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Scunthorpe66%fair 1.50 · @1.50
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @4.00
Derby County U2115%fair 6.57 · @5.00
4.75Expected goals
3.14Scunthorpe xG
1.61Derby County U21 xG
70%Both score
85%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–17%
2–17%
3–26%
4–16%
2–26%
4–25%
From our goals model: Scunthorpe 3.1 – 1.6 Derby County U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Scunthorpe to win✗
66%
1.50
1.50
Double chance
Scunthorpe or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.44
Draw no bet
Scunthorpe (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Scunthorpe -1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
–
First team to score
Scunthorpe to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Scunthorpe ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Scunthorpe / FT Scunthorpe✗
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
7%
13.90
–
Recent results
Scunthorpe – last 6
LLWLLW
10 Oct
@ AFC Fylde
0–2
L
29 Sep
@ Barrow
0–3
L
26 Sep
vs Hartlepool
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ AFC Hornchurch
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs Boreham Wood
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Sutton Utd
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Derby County U21 – last 6
LLLWDW
10 Oct
@ Brentford U21
2–4
L
18 Sep
@ Burnley U21
1–4
L
11 Sep
vs Tottenham Hotspur U21
1–3
L
8 Sep
@ Gateshead
3–1
W
31 Aug
vs West Bromwich Albion U21
4–4
D
24 Aug
@ Reading U21
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Scunthorpe and Derby County U21.
What is the prediction for Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21?
On our numbers Scunthorpe have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Derby County U21 15%.
How many goals will there be in Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21?
Our predicted score is Scunthorpe 3–1 Derby County U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21?
Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21 (National League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Attis Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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