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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cosmos v Libertas: numbers & prediction

Campionato · San-Marino

Cosmos

DWWLD
1–1
FT
Cosmos 67%Draw 20%Libertas 13% Expected goals 2.02 – 0.76
67%
Betarazi pick

Cosmos to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultCosmos to win ✗67% · @1.50
Double chanceCosmos or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.68

Cosmos vs Libertas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 29 August the Campionato brings Cosmos against Libertas. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Cosmos are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 8 matches; Libertas are 9th (lower half) with 9.

Current form

Cosmos, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tre Penne, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Libertas, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–9 defeat to Virtus, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Libertas 1–0 Cosmos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cosmos 2.0 xG, Libertas 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cosmos 67%, draw 20%, Libertas 13%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Cosmos to win (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cosmos 2–0 Libertas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cosmos67%fair 1.49 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.00
Libertas13%fair 7.69 · @5.00
2.78Expected goals
2.02Cosmos xG
0.76Libertas xG
44%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–16%

From our goals model: Cosmos 2.0 – 0.8 Libertas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCosmos to win ✗67%1.491.50
Double chanceCosmos or draw ✓87%1.151.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.77–
Draw no betCosmos (draw no bet)84%1.19–
Asian handicapCosmos -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreCosmos to score first68%1.46–
Half-time resultCosmos ahead at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cosmos / FT Cosmos ✗43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9%11.68–

Recent results

Cosmos – last 6

DWWLDL
6 Mayvs Tre Penne0–0D
29 Aprvs Pennarossa3–0W
26 Aprvs Faetano2–0W
19 Apr@ La Fiorita1–3L
8 Apr@ Folgore0–0D
15 Mar@ Libertas0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Libertas – last 6

LLWWLD
26 Aprvs Virtus0–9L
19 Aprvs Tre Penne1–3L
8 Aprvs Juvenes Dogana1–0W
15 Marvs Cosmos1–0W
1 Marvs Folgore2–4L
21 Feb@ La Fiorita2–2D
1.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Libertas v Cosmos1–0
Cosmos vs Libertas head-to-head page →

Campionato table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore8710+1622
2Tre Penne8620+1220
3Virtus8611+919
4Tre Fiori8521+1117
5Cosmos8512+1116
6La Fiorita8440+616
7Domagnano8314010
8Fiorentino8233+39
9Libertas8233-29
10San Giovanni8224-68
11Juvenes / Dogana8215-17
12Cailungo8134-26
13Pennarossa8125-145
14Murata8116-134
15San Marino Academy8044-134
16Faetano8035-173

More Campionato predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cosmos vs Libertas?

Our pick is Cosmos to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Cosmos vs Libertas?

On our numbers Cosmos have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Libertas 13%.

How many goals will there be in Cosmos vs Libertas?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cosmos vs Libertas?

Our predicted score is Cosmos 2–0 Libertas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Cosmos vs Libertas?

Cosmos vs Libertas (Campionato) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.