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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

San Giovanni v Tre Penne: numbers & prediction

Campionato · San-Marino
2–3
FT
San Giovanni 9%Draw 18%Tre Penne 74% Expected goals 0.66 – 2.28
74%
Betarazi pick

Tre Penne to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultTre Penne to win ✓74% · @1.25
Double chanceTre Penne or draw ✓91% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗10% · fair 9.59

San Giovanni vs Tre Penne: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: San Giovanni v Tre Penne in the Campionato. In the table, San Giovanni are 10th, lower half, on 8 points after 8 matches; Tre Penne are 2nd (among the top four) with 20. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

San Giovanni, last 4: LLDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Tre Penne, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Tre Penne, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to La Fiorita, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tre Penne, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for San Giovanni.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Tre Penne 4–0 San Giovanni.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Giovanni 0.7 xG, Tre Penne 2.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 43%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Giovanni 9%, draw 18%, Tre Penne 74%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tre Penne to win (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Giovanni 0–2 Tre Penne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Giovanni9%fair 11.52 · @7.50
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @5.50
Tre Penne74%fair 1.36 · @1.25
2.94Expected goals
0.66San Giovanni xG
2.28Tre Penne xG
43%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–214%
0–112%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%

From our goals model: San Giovanni 0.7 – 2.3 Tre Penne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTre Penne to win ✓74%1.361.25
Double chanceTre Penne or draw ✓91%1.101.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗57%1.76–
Draw no betTre Penne (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapTre Penne -1 (Asian handicap)66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
First team to scoreTre Penne to score first73%1.36–
Half-time resultTre Penne ahead at half-time ✓53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tre Penne / FT Tre Penne ✓50%2.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗10%9.59–

Recent results

San Giovanni – last 4

LLDW
26 Apr@ Tre Penne0–4L
7 Apr@ La Fiorita0–3L
15 Mar@ Folgore2–2D
22 Febvs Cailungo2–1W
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Tre Penne – last 6

LDWWDD
12 Mayvs La Fiorita0–1L
6 May@ Cosmos0–0D
26 Aprvs San Giovanni4–0W
19 Apr@ Libertas3–1W
8 Aprvs Virtus1–1D
22 Marvs Folgore1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Tre Penne v San Giovanni4–0
San Giovanni vs Tre Penne head-to-head page →

Campionato table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore8710+1622
2Tre Penne8620+1220
3Virtus8611+919
4Tre Fiori8521+1117
5Cosmos8512+1116
6La Fiorita8440+616
7Domagnano8314010
8Fiorentino8233+39
9Libertas8233-29
10San Giovanni8224-68
11Juvenes / Dogana8215-17
12Cailungo8134-26
13Pennarossa8125-145
14Murata8116-134
15San Marino Academy8044-134
16Faetano8035-173

More Campionato predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Giovanni vs Tre Penne?

Our pick is Tre Penne to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win San Giovanni vs Tre Penne?

On our numbers San Giovanni have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tre Penne 74%.

How many goals will there be in San Giovanni vs Tre Penne?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Giovanni vs Tre Penne?

Our predicted score is San Giovanni 0–2 Tre Penne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is San Giovanni vs Tre Penne?

San Giovanni vs Tre Penne (Campionato) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.