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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tre Fiori v Pennarossa: numbers & prediction

Campionato · San-Marino
5–2
FT
Tre Fiori 70%Draw 20%Pennarossa 10% Expected goals 2.21 – 0.73
70%
Betarazi pick

Tre Fiori to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultTre Fiori to win ✓70% · @1.25
Double chanceTre Fiori or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.48

Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 30 August the Campionato brings Tre Fiori against Pennarossa. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Tre Fiori are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 8 matches; Pennarossa are 13th (lower half) with 5. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tre Fiori, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Drita, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Pennarossa, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Cosmos, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Pennarossa, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Tre Fiori.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Tre Fiori 1–1 Pennarossa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tre Fiori 2.2 xG, Pennarossa 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 47% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tre Fiori 70%, draw 20%, Pennarossa 10%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tre Fiori to win (70%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tre Fiori 2–0 Pennarossa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tre Fiori70%fair 1.43 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @5.00
Pennarossa10%fair 10.32 · @8.50
2.94Expected goals
2.21Tre Fiori xG
0.73Pennarossa xG
47%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Tre Fiori 2.2 – 0.7 Pennarossa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTre Fiori to win ✓70%1.431.25
Double chanceTre Fiori or draw ✓90%1.111.04
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.87–
Draw no betTre Fiori (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapTre Fiori -1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
First team to scoreTre Fiori to score first71%1.40–
Half-time resultTre Fiori ahead at half-time ✗51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tre Fiori / FT Tre Fiori ✗47%2.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10%10.48–

Recent results

Tre Fiori – last 6

LLLLLD
13 Aug@ Drita0–5L
6 Augvs Drita1–4L
29 Julvs Forli1–3L
14 Jul@ Larne1–2L
7 Julvs Larne0–1L
26 Aprvs Pennarossa1–1D
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Pennarossa – last 5

LDWDL
29 Apr@ Cosmos0–3L
26 Apr@ Tre Fiori1–1D
7 Apr@ Cailungo2–1W
1 Mar@ San Marino Academy1–1D
21 Febvs Folgore2–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Tre Fiori v Pennarossa1–1
Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa head-to-head page →

Campionato table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore8710+1622
2Tre Penne8620+1220
3Virtus8611+919
4Tre Fiori8521+1117
5Cosmos8512+1116
6La Fiorita8440+616
7Domagnano8314010
8Fiorentino8233+39
9Libertas8233-29
10San Giovanni8224-68
11Juvenes / Dogana8215-17
12Cailungo8134-26
13Pennarossa8125-145
14Murata8116-134
15San Marino Academy8044-134
16Faetano8035-173

More Campionato predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa?

Our pick is Tre Fiori to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa?

On our numbers Tre Fiori have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pennarossa 10%.

How many goals will there be in Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa?

Our predicted score is Tre Fiori 2–0 Pennarossa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa?

Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.