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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Virtus v La Fiorita: numbers & prediction

Campionato · San-Marino

Virtus

WLLLW
0–0
FT
Virtus 48%Draw 22%La Fiorita 30% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.06
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultVirtus to win ✗48% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.52

Virtus vs La Fiorita: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Virtus v La Fiorita in the Campionato. In the table, Virtus are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 8 matches; La Fiorita are 6th (upper half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Virtus, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dila, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

La Fiorita, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to UNA Strassen, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Virtus 1.5 xG, La Fiorita 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Virtus 48%, draw 22%, La Fiorita 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Virtus 1–1 La Fiorita. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Virtus48%fair 2.07 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
La Fiorita30%fair 3.34 · @3.00
2.52Expected goals
1.45Virtus xG
1.06La Fiorita xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–09%
0–08%

From our goals model: Virtus 1.5 – 1.1 La Fiorita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVirtus to win ✗48%2.072.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.84–
Draw no betVirtus (draw no bet)62%1.62–
Asian handicapLa Fiorita +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreVirtus to score first ✗53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Virtus / FT Virtus ✗27%3.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.52–

Recent results

Virtus – last 6

WLLLWD
16 Julvs Dila1–0W
9 Jul@ Dila1–3L
30 Junvs Vardar Skopje2–3L
12 May@ Domagnano1–2L
6 May@ Juvenes Dogana2–0W
3 Mayvs Juvenes Dogana0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

La Fiorita – last 6

LLDWLW
14 Julvs UNA Strassen0–2L
7 Jul@ UNA Strassen0–1L
27 Junvs Vardar Skopje1–1D
12 May@ Tre Penne1–0W
5 May@ Fiorentino2–3L
19 Aprvs Cosmos3–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Virtus and La Fiorita.

Virtus vs La Fiorita head-to-head page →

Campionato table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore8710+1622
2Tre Penne8620+1220
3Virtus8611+919
4Tre Fiori8521+1117
5Cosmos8512+1116
6La Fiorita8440+616
7Domagnano8314010
8Fiorentino8233+39
9Libertas8233-29
10San Giovanni8224-68
11Juvenes / Dogana8215-17
12Cailungo8134-26
13Pennarossa8125-145
14Murata8116-134
15San Marino Academy8044-134
16Faetano8035-173

More Campionato predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Virtus vs La Fiorita?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Virtus vs La Fiorita?

On our numbers Virtus have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and La Fiorita 30%.

How many goals will there be in Virtus vs La Fiorita?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Virtus vs La Fiorita?

Our predicted score is Virtus 1–1 La Fiorita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Virtus vs La Fiorita?

Virtus vs La Fiorita (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.