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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Libertas v Faetano: numbers & prediction

Campionato · San-Marino
1–1
FT

Faetano

DLLLL
Libertas 59%Draw 24%Faetano 17% Expected goals 1.76 – 0.82
59%
Betarazi pick

Libertas to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultLibertas to win ✗59% · @1.70
Double chanceLibertas or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.54

Libertas vs Faetano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:15 WAT, Friday 18 September: Libertas v Faetano in the Campionato. In the table, Libertas are 9th, lower half, on 9 points after 8 matches; Faetano are 16th (in the drop zone) with 3.

Current form

Libertas, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Virtus, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Faetano, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Marino Academy, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Momentum favours Libertas, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Faetano.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Libertas 2–1 Faetano.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Libertas 1.8 xG, Faetano 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Libertas 59%, draw 24%, Faetano 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Libertas or draw (83%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Libertas to win (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertas 1–0 Faetano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Libertas59%fair 1.68 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.50
Faetano17%fair 5.89 · @4.10
2.59Expected goals
1.76Libertas xG
0.82Faetano xG
45%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Libertas 1.8 – 0.8 Faetano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLibertas to win ✗59%1.681.70
Double chanceLibertas or draw ✓83%1.201.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.81–
Draw no betLibertas (draw no bet)78%1.29–
Asian handicapFaetano +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreLibertas to score first ✗63%1.59–
Half-time resultLibertas ahead at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Libertas / FT Libertas ✗37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.54–

Recent results

Libertas – last 6

LLWDLL
12 Sep@ Virtus0–2L
9 Sepvs Folgore0–2L
5 Sepvs Juvenes Dogana2–1W
29 Aug@ Cosmos1–1D
26 Aprvs Virtus0–9L
19 Aprvs Tre Penne1–3L
0.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Faetano – last 6

DLLLLL
13 Sep@ San Marino Academy0–0D
8 Sep@ Domagnano1–3L
4 Sepvs Tre Fiori0–4L
28 Aug@ Juvenes Dogana0–4L
26 Apr@ Cosmos0–2L
19 Aprvs Tre Fiori0–1L
0.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Libertas v Faetano2–1
Libertas vs Faetano head-to-head page →

Campionato table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore8710+1622
2Tre Penne8620+1220
3Virtus8611+919
4Tre Fiori8521+1117
5Cosmos8512+1116
6La Fiorita8440+616
7Domagnano8314010
8Fiorentino8233+39
9Libertas8233-29
10San Giovanni8224-68
11Juvenes / Dogana8215-17
12Cailungo8134-26
13Pennarossa8125-145
14Murata8116-134
15San Marino Academy8044-134
16Faetano8035-173

More Campionato predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Libertas vs Faetano?

Our pick is Libertas to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Libertas vs Faetano?

On our numbers Libertas have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Faetano 17%.

How many goals will there be in Libertas vs Faetano?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Libertas vs Faetano?

Our predicted score is Libertas 1–0 Faetano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Libertas vs Faetano?

Libertas vs Faetano (Campionato) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.