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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fazendense v Mocarriense: numbers & prediction

Taça De Portugal · Portugal
Fazendense 64%Draw 20%Mocarriense 16% Expected goals 2.06 – 0.91
64%
Betarazi pick

Fazendense to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultFazendense to win ✓64% · @1.36
Double chanceFazendense or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 13.43

Fazendense vs Mocarriense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Fazendense v Mocarriense in the Taça De Portugal.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fazendense 2.1 xG, Mocarriense 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fazendense 64%, draw 20%, Mocarriense 16%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Fazendense to win (64%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fazendense 2–0 Mocarriense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fazendense64%fair 1.56 · @1.36
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @4.33
Mocarriense16%fair 6.22 · @6.50
2.98Expected goals
2.06Fazendense xG
0.91Mocarriense xG
50%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Fazendense 2.1 – 0.9 Mocarriense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFazendense to win ✓64%1.561.36
Double chanceFazendense or draw ✓84%1.191.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.99–
Draw no betFazendense (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapFazendense -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreFazendense to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultFazendense ahead at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fazendense / FT Fazendense ✗41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7%13.43–

Recent results

Fazendense – last 1

D
23 Augvs AD Nogueirense3–3D
3.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Mocarriense

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Fazendense and Mocarriense.

Fazendense vs Mocarriense head-to-head page →

More Taça De Portugal predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fazendense vs Mocarriense?

Our pick is Fazendense to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Fazendense vs Mocarriense?

On our numbers Fazendense have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mocarriense 16%.

How many goals will there be in Fazendense vs Mocarriense?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fazendense vs Mocarriense?

Our predicted score is Fazendense 2–0 Mocarriense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Fazendense vs Mocarriense?

Fazendense vs Mocarriense (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.