Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 52% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +65%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✓52% · @3.20
Double chanceVila Meã or draw ✓76% · fair 1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.65
Maia Lidador vs Vila Meã: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the Taça De Portugal brings Maia Lidador against Vila Meã. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Vila Meã, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Os Limianos, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maia Lidador 1.2 xG, Vila Meã 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maia Lidador 24%, draw 52%, Vila Meã 24%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maia Lidador 1–1 Vila Meã. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maia Lidador24%fair 4.19 · @2.50
Draw52%fair 1.93 · @3.20
Vila Meã24%fair 4.09 · @2.50
2.39Expected goals
1.19Maia Lidador xG
1.20Vila Meã xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Maia Lidador 1.2 – 1.2 Vila Meã expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
52%
1.93
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Vila Meã or draw✓
76%
1.31
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Vila Meã (draw no bet)
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Maia Lidador +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Vila Meã to score first✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vila Meã / FT Vila Meã✗
21%
4.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.65
–
Recent results
Maia Lidador – last 2
LL
23 Aug
vs Ponte da Barca
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ SC Braga B
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vila Meã – last 6
DWWLDL
23 Aug
vs Os Limianos
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Ponte da Barca
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Rebordosa
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ União Lamas
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Aparecida
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Alpendorada
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maia Lidador and Vila Meã.
What is the prediction for Maia Lidador vs Vila Meã?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Maia Lidador vs Vila Meã?
On our numbers Maia Lidador have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 52% and Vila Meã 24%.
How many goals will there be in Maia Lidador vs Vila Meã?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maia Lidador vs Vila Meã?
Our predicted score is Maia Lidador 1–1 Vila Meã, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Maia Lidador vs Vila Meã?
Maia Lidador vs Vila Meã (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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