Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 24 September the Liga Alef brings Hapoel Migdal HaEmek against Hapoel Nazareth Illit. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT.
Current form
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed, away. The attack is flying at 2.6 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Hapoel Migdal HaEmek, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1.6 xG, Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 40%, draw 21%, Hapoel Nazareth Illit 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.81, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 2–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek40%fair 2.50 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
Hapoel Nazareth Illit39%fair 2.58 · @2.50
3.19Expected goals
1.61Hapoel Migdal HaEmek xG
1.58Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG
54%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1.6 – 1.6 Hapoel Nazareth Illit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek to win✗
40%
2.50
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Nazareth Illit +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Migdal HaEmek / FT Hapoel Migdal HaEmek✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.86
–
Recent results
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek – last 5
WDWWL
18 Sep
@ Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
4–2
W
5 Sep
@ Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ Tzeirey Tamra
2–0
W
19 Feb
vs Ironi Nesher
3–0
W
13 Feb
@ Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
2–4
L
2.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit – last 6
WDDLDL
9 Sep
vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2–2
D
25 May
vs Hapoel Acre
2–2
D
19 May
vs Ironi Modi'in
0–2
L
11 May
@ Kafr Qasim
1–1
D
4 May
@ Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Migdal HaEmek and Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
On our numbers Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hapoel Nazareth Illit 39%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 2–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit (Liga Alef) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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