Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Hapoel Hadera to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Hadera to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceHapoel Hadera or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.56
Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:15 WAT, Thursday 24 September: Hapoel Hadera v Maccabi Ashdod in the Liga Alef, played at Netanya Stadium.
Current form
Hapoel Hadera, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kfar Saba 1928, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Maccabi Ashdod, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ironi Beit Shemesh, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Hadera 1.8 xG, Maccabi Ashdod 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Hadera 61%, draw 23%, Maccabi Ashdod 16%.
Lower-risk option: Hapoel Hadera or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Hapoel Hadera to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hapoel Hadera or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Hadera 1–0 Maccabi Ashdod. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Hadera61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.50
Maccabi Ashdod16%fair 6.20 · @3.60
2.61Expected goals
1.81Hapoel Hadera xG
0.81Maccabi Ashdod xG
47%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Hapoel Hadera 1.8 – 0.8 Maccabi Ashdod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Hadera to win✗
61%
1.64
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Hapoel Hadera or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Hapoel Hadera (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Hadera -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Hapoel Hadera to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Hapoel Hadera ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Hadera / FT Hapoel Hadera✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.56
–
Recent results
Hapoel Hadera – last 6
WDLLDD
17 Sep
@ Kfar Saba 1928
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
2–2
D
4 Sep
@ Hapoel Marmorek
0–1
L
25 May
@ Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1–6
L
19 May
@ Hapoel Acre
0–0
D
14 May
vs Hapoel Ra'anana
3–3
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maccabi Ashdod – last 5
DDLDD
18 Sep
vs Ironi Beit Shemesh
2–2
D
9 Sep
@ FC Jerusalem
1–1
D
3 Sep
vs Hapoel Herzliya
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Hapoel Marmorek
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ FC Jerusalem
3–3
D
1.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Hadera and Maccabi Ashdod.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod?
Our pick is Hapoel Hadera or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod?
On our numbers Hapoel Hadera have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Maccabi Ashdod 16%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Hadera 1–0 Maccabi Ashdod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod?
Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod (Liga Alef) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Netanya Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed4
Hapoel Ironi Arraba1
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2
Hapoel Nazareth Illit3