Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Sderot to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceHapoel Sderot or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8% · fair 12.88
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Sderot: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 17 September the Liga Alef brings Hapoel Mahane Yehuda against Hapoel Sderot. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0.8 xG, Hapoel Sderot 2.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 14%, draw 23%, Hapoel Sderot 63%.
Lower-risk option: Hapoel Sderot or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hapoel Sderot to win (63%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0–1 Hapoel Sderot. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda14%fair 7.17 · @3.80
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.40
Hapoel Sderot63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
2.81Expected goals
0.83Hapoel Mahane Yehuda xG
1.98Hapoel Sderot xG
48%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0.8 – 2.0 Hapoel Sderot expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Sderot to win✓
63%
1.58
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Hapoel Sderot or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Hapoel Sderot (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Sderot -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Hapoel Sderot to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Hapoel Sderot ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Sderot / FT Hapoel Sderot✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
8%
12.88
–
Recent results
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda – last 2
DD
9 Sep
@ Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1–1
D
3 Sep
@ Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Hapoel Sderot – last 2
LW
9 Sep
vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Tzeirey Tira
4–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Mahane Yehuda and Hapoel Sderot.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Sderot?
Our pick is Hapoel Sderot to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Sderot?
On our numbers Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hapoel Sderot 63%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Sderot?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Sderot?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0–1 Hapoel Sderot, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Sderot?
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Sderot (Liga Alef) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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