Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Shimshon Tel Aviv to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultShimshon Tel Aviv to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceShimshon Tel Aviv or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.94
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shimshon Tel Aviv welcome Holon Yermiyahu for a Liga Alef fixture on Thursday 17 September (18:30 WAT). In the table, Shimshon Tel Aviv are 7th, upper half, on 30 points after 22 matches; Holon Yermiyahu are 11th (lower half) with 24.
Current form
Shimshon Tel Aviv, last 4: DWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Hapoel Hadera, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Holon Yermiyahu, last 4: WDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hapoel Marmorek, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shimshon Tel Aviv 1.4 xG, Holon Yermiyahu 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shimshon Tel Aviv 57%, draw 22%, Holon Yermiyahu 21%.
Lower-risk option: Shimshon Tel Aviv or draw (79%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Shimshon Tel Aviv to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Shimshon Tel Aviv or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shimshon Tel Aviv 1–0 Holon Yermiyahu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shimshon Tel Aviv57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Holon Yermiyahu21%fair 4.67 · @3.50
2.13Expected goals
1.42Shimshon Tel Aviv xG
0.71Holon Yermiyahu xG
42%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–012%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Shimshon Tel Aviv 1.4 – 0.7 Holon Yermiyahu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shimshon Tel Aviv to win✓
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Shimshon Tel Aviv or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
–
Draw no bet
Shimshon Tel Aviv (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Holon Yermiyahu +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Shimshon Tel Aviv to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shimshon Tel Aviv / FT Shimshon Tel Aviv✓
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.94
–
Recent results
Shimshon Tel Aviv – last 4
DWWD
9 Sep
@ Hapoel Hadera
2–2
D
3 Sep
vs Ironi Beit Shemesh
2–0
W
26 Feb
vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
4–2
W
19 Feb
vs Kfar Saba 1928
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Holon Yermiyahu – last 4
WDDW
9 Sep
vs Hapoel Marmorek
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Maccabi Yavne
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Beitar Yavne
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimshon Tel Aviv and Holon Yermiyahu.
What is the prediction for Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu?
Our pick is Shimshon Tel Aviv or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu?
On our numbers Shimshon Tel Aviv have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Holon Yermiyahu 21%.
How many goals will there be in Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu?
Our predicted score is Shimshon Tel Aviv 1–0 Holon Yermiyahu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu?
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu (Liga Alef) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hapoel Hadera1
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda0
Hapoel Sderot1