Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: FC Jerusalem to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Jerusalem to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceFC Jerusalem or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi travel to face FC Jerusalem on Friday 9 October in the Liga Alef – the ball rolls at 10:00 WAT. In the table, FC Jerusalem are 2nd, among the top four, on 37 points after 22 matches; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi are 5th (upper half) with 35. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Jerusalem, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tzeirey Tira, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Hapoel Herzliya, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Jerusalem 1.9 xG, Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Jerusalem 63%, draw 23%, Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 14%.
Lower-risk option: FC Jerusalem or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: FC Jerusalem to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Jerusalem or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Jerusalem 1–0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Jerusalem63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi14%fair 7.06 · @3.70
2.70Expected goals
1.91FC Jerusalem xG
0.79Maccabi Kiryat Malachi xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: FC Jerusalem 1.9 – 0.8 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Jerusalem to win✗
63%
1.59
1.80 ▲
Double chance
FC Jerusalem or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.73
Draw no bet
FC Jerusalem (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
FC Jerusalem -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
FC Jerusalem to score first✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
FC Jerusalem ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Jerusalem / FT FC Jerusalem✗
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
FC Jerusalem – last 6
WDWDWW
30 Sep
@ Tzeirey Tira
2–0
W
24 Sep
vs Maccabi Yavne
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Nordia Jerusalem
3–1
W
9 Sep
vs Maccabi Ashdod
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ Kfar Saba 1928
2–1
W
27 Feb
vs Dimona
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi – last 6
DWWWDW
30 Sep
vs Hapoel Herzliya
0–0
D
23 Sep
@ Dimona
5–1
W
18 Sep
vs Hapoel Azor
3–0
W
9 Sep
@ Hapoel Sderot
2–1
W
3 Sep
vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Beitar Yavne
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Jerusalem and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi.
What is the prediction for FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
Our pick is FC Jerusalem or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
On our numbers FC Jerusalem have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 14%.
How many goals will there be in FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
Our predicted score is FC Jerusalem 1–0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Beitar Nahariya1
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm1
Ironi Beit Shemesh3
Hapoel Hadera0
Hapoel Sderot1
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik1
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan2
Hapoel Ironi Arraba0
Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt0
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed0
Hapoel Bnei Musmus0