Value bet: Hapoel Sderot to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDimona to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.32
Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:35 WAT, Friday 9 October: Dimona v Hapoel Sderot in the Liga Alef.
Current form
Dimona, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Hapoel Mahane Yehuda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Hapoel Sderot, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Hapoel Azor, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Dimona, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.4 for Hapoel Sderot.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dimona 1.3 xG, Hapoel Sderot 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dimona 41%, draw 23%, Hapoel Sderot 36%.
Price worth noting: Hapoel Sderot to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dimona 1–1 Hapoel Sderot. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dimona41%fair 2.42 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Hapoel Sderot36%fair 2.77 · @3.10
2.50Expected goals
1.30Dimona xG
1.19Hapoel Sderot xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Dimona 1.3 – 1.2 Hapoel Sderot expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dimona to win✓
41%
2.42
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Dimona (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Sderot +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Dimona to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dimona / FT Dimona✓
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.32
–
Recent results
Dimona – last 6
WLWWLW
30 Sep
@ Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
3–2
W
23 Sep
vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
1–5
L
9 Sep
vs Maccabi Yavne
1–0
W
3 Sep
@ Nordia Jerusalem
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ FC Jerusalem
1–4
L
19 Feb
vs Tzeirey Tira
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hapoel Sderot – last 5
DLWLW
1 Oct
vs Hapoel Azor
0–0
D
23 Sep
@ Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
0–1
L
17 Sep
@ Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Tzeirey Tira
4–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dimona and Hapoel Sderot.
What is the prediction for Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot?
On our numbers Dimona have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hapoel Sderot 36%.
How many goals will there be in Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot?
Our predicted score is Dimona 1–1 Hapoel Sderot, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot?
Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 11:35 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Beitar Nahariya1
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm1
Ironi Beit Shemesh3
Hapoel Hadera0
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik1
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan2
Hapoel Ironi Arraba0
Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt0
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed0
Hapoel Bnei Musmus0