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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

PSM Makassar v Arema FC: numbers & prediction

Liga 1 · Indonesia · Gelora BJ Habibie
3–3
FT
PSM Makassar 29%Draw 24%Arema FC 47% Expected goals 1.76 – 2.24
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.73Odds
2

Value bet: Arema FC to win @ 2.60 – our chance 47% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultArema FC to win ✗47% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.37

PSM Makassar vs Arema FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 13 September the Liga 1 brings PSM Makassar against Arema FC at Gelora BJ Habibie. Kick-off: 09:30 WAT. In the table, PSM Makassar are 12th, lower half, on 10 points after 9 matches; Arema FC are 14th (lower half) with 9. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

PSM Makassar, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Persib Bandung, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Arema FC, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Adhyaksa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Arema FC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for PSM Makassar.

Head to head

When they last met (9 May 2026) it ended Arema FC 3–0 PSM Makassar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give PSM Makassar 1.8 xG, Arema FC 2.2 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – PSM Makassar 29%, draw 24%, Arema FC 47%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Arema FC to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 47%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: PSM Makassar 1–2 Arema FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

PSM Makassar29%fair 3.49 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
Arema FC47%fair 2.13 · @2.60
4.00Expected goals
1.76PSM Makassar xG
2.24Arema FC xG
65%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–16%
1–36%
2–35%

From our goals model: PSM Makassar 1.8 – 2.2 Arema FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArema FC to win ✗47%2.132.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.73 ▲
Draw no betArema FC (draw no bet)62%1.61–
Asian handicapPSM Makassar +1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
First team to scoreArema FC to score first55%1.82–
Half-time resultArema FC ahead at half-time ✓39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arema FC / FT Arema FC ✗31%3.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.37–

Recent results

PSM Makassar – last 6

LLLLLW
6 Sep@ Persib Bandung1–3L
23 May@ Persepam Madura Utd0–2L
17 Mayvs Persib Bandung1–2L
9 May@ Arema FC0–3L
27 Apr@ Bali United0–2L
23 Aprvs Persik Kediri3–1W
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Arema FC – last 6

WLLWWL
4 Sepvs Adhyaksa4–0W
6 Aug@ Persija1–3L
4 Aug@ Persebaya Surabaya0–1L
31 Julvs DPMM FC Brunei2–0W
28 Jul@ Tampines Rovers2–1W
25 Jul@ Persib Bandung0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 May 2026Arema FC v PSM Makassar3–0
PSM Makassar vs Arema FC head-to-head page →

Liga 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Persija9702+1121
2Dewa United9621+420
3Bali United9612+1719
4Persepam Madura Utd9612+619
5Persib Bandung9513+616
6Persita8431+615
7Java United9432+313
8Persebaya Surabaya9342+213
9Bhayangkara FC9261+112
10Garudayaksa9324-411
11Pusamania Borneo8314-210
12PSM Makassar9243-410
13Persik Kediri9315-510
14Arema FC9234-39
15Isenmulang Kalteng9225-126
16PSS Sleman9126-55
17PSIM Yogyakarta9126-85
18Persijap9027-132

More Liga 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PSM Makassar vs Arema FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win PSM Makassar vs Arema FC?

On our numbers PSM Makassar have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arema FC 47%.

How many goals will there be in PSM Makassar vs Arema FC?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for PSM Makassar vs Arema FC?

Our predicted score is PSM Makassar 1–2 Arema FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is PSM Makassar vs Arema FC?

PSM Makassar vs Arema FC (Liga 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Gelora BJ Habibie.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.