Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultPersebaya Surabaya to win ✓57% · @1.70
Double chancePersebaya Surabaya or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.51
Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Persebaya Surabaya v PSIM Yogyakarta in the Liga 1, played at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium. In the table, Persebaya Surabaya are 8th, upper half, on 13 points after 9 matches; PSIM Yogyakarta are 17th (in the drop zone) with 5.
Current form
Persebaya Surabaya, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bhayangkara FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
PSIM Yogyakarta, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Persita, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Persebaya Surabaya, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for PSIM Yogyakarta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Persebaya Surabaya 1.4 xG, PSIM Yogyakarta 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Persebaya Surabaya 57%, draw 24%, PSIM Yogyakarta 19%.
Lower-risk option: Persebaya Surabaya or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Persebaya Surabaya or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 PSIM Yogyakarta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Persebaya Surabaya57%fair 1.74 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.40
PSIM Yogyakarta19%fair 5.35 · @4.33
2.00Expected goals
1.38Persebaya Surabaya xG
0.62PSIM Yogyakarta xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–112%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Persebaya Surabaya 1.4 – 0.6 PSIM Yogyakarta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persebaya Surabaya to win✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Double chance
Persebaya Surabaya or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.73
Draw no bet
Persebaya Surabaya (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
PSIM Yogyakarta +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Persebaya Surabaya to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persebaya Surabaya / FT Persebaya Surabaya✗
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.51
–
Recent results
Persebaya Surabaya – last 6
DDWWWW
5 Sep
@ Bhayangkara FC
1–1
D
6 Aug
@ Persib Bandung
1–1
D
4 Aug
vs Arema FC
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Port FC
2–1
W
29 Jul
vs PSMS Medan
1–0
W
26 Jul
vs Persija
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
PSIM Yogyakarta – last 6
DLWWLD
5 Sep
vs Persita
1–1
D
22 May
@ Arema FC
1–3
L
17 May
vs Persepam Madura Utd
2–1
W
10 May
vs Malut United
2–0
W
30 Apr
vs Persita
0–1
L
22 Apr
vs Persija
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persebaya Surabaya and PSIM Yogyakarta.
What is the prediction for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
Our pick is Persebaya Surabaya or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
On our numbers Persebaya Surabaya have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and PSIM Yogyakarta 19%.
How many goals will there be in Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
Our predicted score is Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 PSIM Yogyakarta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta (Liga 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
