Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: PSM Makassar to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPSM Makassar to win ✓39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.15
PSIM Yogyakarta vs PSM Makassar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 16 October the Liga 1 brings PSIM Yogyakarta against PSM Makassar at Mandala Krida Stadium. Kick-off: 09:30 WAT. In the table, PSIM Yogyakarta are 17th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 9 matches; PSM Makassar are 12th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
PSIM Yogyakarta, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Persija, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
PSM Makassar, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to PSS Sleman, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended PSIM Yogyakarta 1–2 PSM Makassar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PSIM Yogyakarta 1.7 xG, PSM Makassar 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PSIM Yogyakarta 38%, draw 23%, PSM Makassar 39%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: PSM Makassar to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: PSIM Yogyakarta 1–1 PSM Makassar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PSIM Yogyakarta38%fair 2.60 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
PSM Makassar39%fair 2.59 · @3.00
3.38Expected goals
1.69PSIM Yogyakarta xG
1.69PSM Makassar xG
64%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: PSIM Yogyakarta 1.7 – 1.7 PSM Makassar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for PSIM Yogyakarta vs PSM Makassar?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win PSIM Yogyakarta vs PSM Makassar?
On our numbers PSIM Yogyakarta have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and PSM Makassar 39%.
How many goals will there be in PSIM Yogyakarta vs PSM Makassar?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSIM Yogyakarta vs PSM Makassar?
Our predicted score is PSIM Yogyakarta 1–1 PSM Makassar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is PSIM Yogyakarta vs PSM Makassar?
PSIM Yogyakarta vs PSM Makassar (Liga 1) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Mandala Krida Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
