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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Persepam Madura Utd v Bhayangkara FC: numbers & prediction

Liga 1 · Indonesia · Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium

Persepam Madura Utd

LWWWW
3–3
FT

Bhayangkara FC

DWDDW
Persepam Madura Utd 36%Draw 23%Bhayangkara FC 42% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.51
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultBhayangkara FC to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.41

Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 16 October the Liga 1 brings Persepam Madura Utd against Bhayangkara FC at Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Persepam Madura Utd are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 9 matches; Bhayangkara FC are 9th (upper half) with 12.

Current form

Persepam Madura Utd, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Persik Kediri, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Bhayangkara FC, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Arema FC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Momentum favours Persepam Madura Utd, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Bhayangkara FC.

Head to head

When they last met (11 May 2026) it ended Bhayangkara FC 3–1 Persepam Madura Utd.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Persepam Madura Utd 1.4 xG, Bhayangkara FC 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Persepam Madura Utd 36%, draw 23%, Bhayangkara FC 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Persepam Madura Utd 1–1 Bhayangkara FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Persepam Madura Utd36%fair 2.81 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Bhayangkara FC42%fair 2.39 · @2.30
2.88Expected goals
1.37Persepam Madura Utd xG
1.51Bhayangkara FC xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: Persepam Madura Utd 1.4 – 1.5 Bhayangkara FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBhayangkara FC to win ✗42%2.392.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.65
Draw no betBhayangkara FC (draw no bet)54%1.85–
Asian handicapPersepam Madura Utd +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.20–
First team to scoreBhayangkara FC to score first ✓49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bhayangkara FC / FT Bhayangkara FC ✗24%4.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.41–

Recent results

Persepam Madura Utd – last 6

LWWWWL
9 Oct@ Persik Kediri0–2L
18 Sepvs PSIM Yogyakarta2–1W
12 Sep@ PSS Sleman3–1W
6 Sepvs Persijap2–0W
23 Mayvs PSM Makassar2–0W
17 May@ PSIM Yogyakarta1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bhayangkara FC – last 6

DWDDWL
10 Oct@ Arema FC2–2D
19 Sepvs Isenmulang Kalteng2–0W
11 Sep@ Dewa United2–2D
5 Sepvs Persebaya Surabaya1–1D
23 Mayvs PSBS Biak Numfor7–0W
17 May@ Bali United1–4L
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 May 2026Bhayangkara FC v Persepam Madura Utd3–1
Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC head-to-head page →

Liga 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Persija9702+1121
2Dewa United9621+420
3Bali United9612+1719
4Persepam Madura Utd9612+619
5Persib Bandung9513+616
6Persita8431+615
7Java United9432+313
8Persebaya Surabaya9342+213
9Bhayangkara FC9261+112
10Garudayaksa9324-411
11Pusamania Borneo8314-210
12PSM Makassar9243-410
13Persik Kediri9315-510
14Arema FC9234-39
15Isenmulang Kalteng9225-126
16PSS Sleman9126-55
17PSIM Yogyakarta9126-85
18Persijap9027-132

More Liga 1 predictions

League hub
FT PSIM Yogyakarta1 PSM Makassar2 138%2.15X23%3.10239%3.00 1.7–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.70 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC?

On our numbers Persepam Madura Utd have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bhayangkara FC 42%.

How many goals will there be in Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC?

Our predicted score is Persepam Madura Utd 1–1 Bhayangkara FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC?

Persepam Madura Utd vs Bhayangkara FC (Liga 1) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.