Bhayangkara FC 63%Draw 21%PSM Makassar 16%Expected goals 2.25 – 1.08
63%
Betarazi pick
Bhayangkara FC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBhayangkara FC to win ✗63% · @1.55
Double chanceBhayangkara FC or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
PSM Makassar travel to face Bhayangkara FC on Monday 26 October in the Liga 1, with Sumpah Pemuda the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Bhayangkara FC are 9th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; PSM Makassar are 12th (lower half) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bhayangkara FC, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over PSIM Yogyakarta, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
PSM Makassar, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Persebaya Surabaya, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bhayangkara FC 2.2 xG, PSM Makassar 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bhayangkara FC 63%, draw 21%, PSM Makassar 16%.
Lower-risk option: Bhayangkara FC or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bhayangkara FC to win (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bhayangkara FC 2–1 PSM Makassar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bhayangkara FC63%fair 1.59 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.60
PSM Makassar16%fair 6.15 · @5.00
3.33Expected goals
2.25Bhayangkara FC xG
1.08PSM Makassar xG
60%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Bhayangkara FC 2.2 – 1.1 PSM Makassar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bhayangkara FC to win✗
63%
1.59
1.55
Double chance
Bhayangkara FC or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Bhayangkara FC (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Bhayangkara FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Bhayangkara FC to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Bhayangkara FC ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bhayangkara FC / FT Bhayangkara FC✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Bhayangkara FC – last 6
WDDWDD
20 Oct
vs PSIM Yogyakarta
1–0
W
16 Oct
@ Persepam Madura Utd
3–3
D
10 Oct
@ Arema FC
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Isenmulang Kalteng
2–0
W
11 Sep
@ Dewa United
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Persebaya Surabaya
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
PSM Makassar – last 6
WWLDDL
22 Oct
vs Persebaya Surabaya
1–0
W
16 Oct
@ PSIM Yogyakarta
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ PSS Sleman
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Persita
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Arema FC
3–3
D
6 Sep
@ Persib Bandung
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bhayangkara FC and PSM Makassar.
What is the prediction for Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar?
Our pick is Bhayangkara FC to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar?
On our numbers Bhayangkara FC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and PSM Makassar 16%.
How many goals will there be in Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar?
Our predicted score is Bhayangkara FC 2–1 PSM Makassar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar?
Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar (Liga 1) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Sumpah Pemuda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
