Palmeiras vs Santos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Thursday 27 August: Palmeiras v Santos in the Copa Do Brasil.
Current form
Palmeiras, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Vasco DA Gama, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Santos, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mirassol, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Santos, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Palmeiras.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Palmeiras 1.7 xG, Santos 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Palmeiras 61%, draw 20%, Santos 19%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palmeiras 1–0 Santos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Palmeiras61%fair 1.63 · @1.54
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.80
Santos19%fair 5.35 · @6.40
2.47Expected goals
1.70Palmeiras xG
0.77Santos xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 1.7 – 0.8 Santos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras to win✓
61%
1.63
1.54
Double chance
Palmeiras or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Palmeiras (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Santos +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Palmeiras to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras✓
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.61
–
Recent results
Palmeiras – last 6
WWLDDL
23 Aug
vs Vasco DA Gama
4–1
W
19 Aug
@ Cerro Porteno
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Fluminense
2–3
L
12 Aug
vs Cerro Porteno
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Internacional
0–0
D
6 Aug
@ Fortaleza EC
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Santos – last 6
DDWWLW
23 Aug
vs Mirassol
1–1
D
20 Aug
@ Macara
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Vasco DA Gama
3–0
W
13 Aug
vs Macara
2–1
W
9 Aug
vs Atletico Paranaense
0–2
L
5 Aug
@ Remo
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palmeiras and Santos.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Palmeiras vs Santos?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Santos 19%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Santos?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Santos?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 1–0 Santos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs Santos?
Palmeiras vs Santos (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vasco DA Gama1
Vitoria0