Wednesday 11 November 2026 9 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vasco DA Gama v Vitoria: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil

Vasco DA Gama

LWLDD
1–0
FT

Vitoria

LWLWL
Vasco DA Gama 62%Draw 24%Vitoria 14% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.75
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultVasco DA Gama to win ✓62% · @1.51
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw ✓86% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54

Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 27 August the Copa Do Brasil brings Vasco DA Gama against Vitoria. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT.

Current form

Vasco DA Gama, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Palmeiras, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Vitoria, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bahia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Jul 2026) it ended Vitoria 1–0 Vasco DA Gama.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vasco DA Gama 1.8 xG, Vitoria 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vasco DA Gama 62%, draw 24%, Vitoria 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Vitoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vasco DA Gama62%fair 1.61 · @1.51
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.90
Vitoria14%fair 7.11 · @6.60
2.56Expected goals
1.81Vasco DA Gama xG
0.75Vitoria xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.8 – 0.7 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVasco DA Gama to win ✓62%1.611.51
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw ✓86%1.161.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.922.15 ▲
Draw no betVasco DA Gama (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapVasco DA Gama -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.411.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.08
First team to scoreVasco DA Gama to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultVasco DA Gama ahead at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vasco DA Gama / FT Vasco DA Gama ✗39%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.54–

Recent results

Vasco DA Gama – last 6

LWLDDW
23 Aug@ Palmeiras1–4L
20 Aug@ Olimpia4–1W
16 Augvs Santos0–3L
13 Augvs Olimpia0–0D
9 Aug@ Bahia0–0D
6 Aug@ Fluminense3–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Vitoria – last 6

LWLWLL
23 Augvs Bahia0–2L
16 Augvs Botafogo1–0W
9 Aug@ Flamengo0–2L
7 Augvs Atletico Paranaense4–0W
4 Aug@ Atletico Paranaense0–2L
30 Julvs Palmeiras0–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Jul 2026Vitoria v Vasco DA Gama1–0
Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
FT Palmeiras3 Santos0 161%1.54X20%3.80219%6.40 1.7–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria?

On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vitoria 14%.

How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria?

Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria?

Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.