Wednesday 11 November 2026 9 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Santos v Palmeiras: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil · Vila Belmiro

Santos

WLDDW
0–0
FT

Palmeiras

DWWWL
Santos 28%Draw 23%Palmeiras 50% Expected goals 1.02 – 1.49
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultPalmeiras to win ✗50% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.86

Santos vs Palmeiras: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Santos welcome Palmeiras to Vila Belmiro for a Copa Do Brasil fixture on Thursday 3 September (01:30 WAT).

Current form

Santos, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Corinthians, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Palmeiras, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mirassol, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Aug 2026) it ended Palmeiras 3–0 Santos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Santos 1.0 xG, Palmeiras 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Santos 28%, draw 23%, Palmeiras 50%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos 1–1 Palmeiras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Santos28%fair 3.63 · @3.45
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Palmeiras50%fair 2.01 · @2.08
2.51Expected goals
1.02Santos xG
1.49Palmeiras xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Santos 1.0 – 1.5 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPalmeiras to win ✗50%2.012.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.931.83
Draw no betPalmeiras (draw no bet)64%1.55–
Asian handicapSantos +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.421.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.08
First team to scorePalmeiras to score first ✗55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras ✗29%3.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.86–

Recent results

Santos – last 6

WLDDWW
30 Aug@ Corinthians1–0W
27 Aug@ Palmeiras0–3L
23 Augvs Mirassol1–1D
20 Aug@ Macara0–0D
16 Aug@ Vasco DA Gama3–0W
13 Augvs Macara2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Palmeiras – last 6

DWWWLD
30 Aug@ Mirassol1–1D
27 Augvs Santos3–0W
23 Augvs Vasco DA Gama4–1W
19 Aug@ Cerro Porteno1–0W
15 Aug@ Fluminense2–3L
12 Augvs Cerro Porteno1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Aug 2026Palmeiras v Santos3–0
Santos vs Palmeiras head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
FT Vitoria0 Vasco DA Gama2 142%2.12X23%3.20235%3.45 1.2–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santos vs Palmeiras?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Santos vs Palmeiras?

On our numbers Santos have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Palmeiras 50%.

How many goals will there be in Santos vs Palmeiras?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santos vs Palmeiras?

Our predicted score is Santos 1–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Santos vs Palmeiras?

Santos vs Palmeiras (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Vila Belmiro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.