Vitoria 42%Draw 23%Vasco DA Gama 35%Expected goals 1.23 – 1.10
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Vasco DA Gama to win @ 3.45 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVitoria to win ✗42% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.35
Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vasco DA Gama travel to face Vitoria on Thursday 3 September in the Copa Do Brasil, with Barradao the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT.
Current form
Vitoria, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atletico-MG, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Vasco DA Gama, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cruzeiro, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Vasco DA Gama, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Vitoria.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Aug 2026) it ended Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Vitoria. The last 2 head-to-heads: Vitoria 1 win, Vasco DA Gama 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vitoria 1.2 xG, Vasco DA Gama 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vitoria 42%, draw 23%, Vasco DA Gama 35%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Vasco DA Gama to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitoria 1–1 Vasco DA Gama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vitoria42%fair 2.39 · @2.12
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.20
Vasco DA Gama35%fair 2.84 · @3.45
2.33Expected goals
1.23Vitoria xG
1.10Vasco DA Gama xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Vitoria 1.2 – 1.1 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?
On our numbers Vitoria have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vasco DA Gama 35%.
How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–1 Vasco DA Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?
Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Barradao.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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