Casa de Portugal 58%Draw 18%Penya Encarnada 24%Expected goals 2.02 – 1.18
60%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultCasa de Portugal to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Casa de Portugal vs Penya Encarnada: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Casa de Portugal v Penya Encarnada in the 1a Divisió. In the table, Casa de Portugal are 8th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 8 matches; Penya Encarnada are 6th (lower half) with 9. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Casa de Portugal, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to FC Santa Coloma, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Penya Encarnada, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sporting Escaldes, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Penya Encarnada, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Casa de Portugal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Casa de Portugal 2.0 xG, Penya Encarnada 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Casa de Portugal 58%, draw 18%, Penya Encarnada 24%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Casa de Portugal 2–1 Penya Encarnada. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Casa de Portugal58%fair 1.72 · @1.80
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @4.10
Penya Encarnada24%fair 4.23 · @3.20
3.20Expected goals
2.02Casa de Portugal xG
1.18Penya Encarnada xG
51%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Casa de Portugal 2.0 – 1.2 Penya Encarnada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Casa de Portugal to win✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Casa de Portugal (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Penya Encarnada +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Casa de Portugal to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Casa de Portugal ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Casa de Portugal / FT Casa de Portugal✓
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Casa de Portugal – last 4
LLLD
11 Oct
@ FC Santa Coloma
0–5
L
20 Sep
vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
0–3
L
13 Sep
@ Ordino
2–3
L
6 Sep
vs Ranger's
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Penya Encarnada – last 6
WDLDLL
11 Oct
vs Sporting Escaldes
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Carroi
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ FC Santa Coloma
0–4
L
6 Sep
vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1–1
D
17 May
@ Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
0–2
L
10 May
vs Ranger's
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Casa de Portugal and Penya Encarnada.
What is the prediction for Casa de Portugal vs Penya Encarnada?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Casa de Portugal vs Penya Encarnada?
On our numbers Casa de Portugal have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Penya Encarnada 24%.
How many goals will there be in Casa de Portugal vs Penya Encarnada?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Casa de Portugal vs Penya Encarnada?
Our predicted score is Casa de Portugal 2–1 Penya Encarnada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Casa de Portugal vs Penya Encarnada?
Casa de Portugal vs Penya Encarnada (1a Divisió) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
