Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
1
Value bet: Penya Encarnada to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEsperança d'Andorra to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Penya Encarnada vs Esperança d'Andorra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Penya Encarnada welcome Esperança d'Andorra to Estadi Nacional for a 1a Divisió fixture on Sunday 25 October (11:00 WAT). In the table, Penya Encarnada are 6th, lower half, on 9 points after 8 matches; Esperança d'Andorra are 4th (among the top four) with 13.
Current form
Penya Encarnada, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Casa de Portugal, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Esperança d'Andorra, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Santa Coloma, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended Esperança d'Andorra 0–1 Penya Encarnada.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Penya Encarnada 1.5 xG, Esperança d'Andorra 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Penya Encarnada 37%, draw 22%, Esperança d'Andorra 41%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Penya Encarnada to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penya Encarnada 1–1 Esperança d'Andorra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Penya Encarnada37%fair 2.68 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.20
Esperança d'Andorra41%fair 2.44 · @2.10
3.10Expected goals
1.51Penya Encarnada xG
1.59Esperança d'Andorra xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Penya Encarnada 1.5 – 1.6 Esperança d'Andorra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Penya Encarnada vs Esperança d'Andorra?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Penya Encarnada vs Esperança d'Andorra?
On our numbers Penya Encarnada have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Esperança d'Andorra 41%.
How many goals will there be in Penya Encarnada vs Esperança d'Andorra?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penya Encarnada vs Esperança d'Andorra?
Our predicted score is Penya Encarnada 1–1 Esperança d'Andorra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Penya Encarnada vs Esperança d'Andorra?
Penya Encarnada vs Esperança d'Andorra (1a Divisió) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Nacional.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
