Value bet: Kitakyushu to win @ 1.94 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKitakyushu to win ✗61% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Kitakyushu vs Okinawa SV: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kitakyushu welcome Okinawa SV to Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu for a Emperor Cup fixture on Wednesday 19 August (11:00 WAT).
Current form
Kitakyushu, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kamatamare Sanuki, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kitakyushu 1.7 xG, Okinawa SV 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kitakyushu 61%, draw 18%, Okinawa SV 21%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Kitakyushu to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kitakyushu 1–0 Okinawa SV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kitakyushu61%fair 1.63 · @1.94
Draw18%fair 5.66 · @3.55
Okinawa SV21%fair 4.78 · @3.40
2.59Expected goals
1.74Kitakyushu xG
0.85Okinawa SV xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Kitakyushu 1.7 – 0.9 Okinawa SV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kitakyushu to win✗
61%
1.63
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Draw no bet
Kitakyushu (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Okinawa SV +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Kitakyushu to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kitakyushu / FT Kitakyushu✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Kitakyushu – last 6
DLWDLL
15 Aug
vs Kamatamare Sanuki
0–0
D
18 Jul
@ Yokohama FC
2–3
L
11 Jul
@ Avispa Fukuoka
2–1
W
7 Jun
@ Tochigi SC
1–1
D
31 May
@ Kamatamare Sanuki
1–3
L
24 May
vs Kagoshima United
1–5
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Okinawa SV
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kitakyushu and Okinawa SV.
What is the prediction for Kitakyushu vs Okinawa SV?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Kitakyushu vs Okinawa SV?
On our numbers Kitakyushu have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Okinawa SV 21%.
How many goals will there be in Kitakyushu vs Okinawa SV?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kitakyushu vs Okinawa SV?
Our predicted score is Kitakyushu 1–0 Okinawa SV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kitakyushu vs Okinawa SV?
Kitakyushu vs Okinawa SV (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Tokushima1
Kawasoe Club0
Gainare Tottori1
Roasso Kumamoto1
Kagoshima United2
Renofa Yamaguchi1
Nara Club1
Osaka4
Tochigi SC2
Urayasu0
Veroskronos Tsuno1
Kamatamare Sanuki1
Verspah Oita3
Kochi United0