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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kagoshima United v Renofa Yamaguchi: numbers & prediction

Emperor Cup · Japan · Shiranami Stadium

Kagoshima United

WWWDW
2–1
FT

Renofa Yamaguchi

WLLDL
Kagoshima United 60%Draw 21%Renofa Yamaguchi 20% Expected goals 1.73 – 0.85
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultKagoshima United to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓80% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.38

Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Wednesday 19 August: Kagoshima United v Renofa Yamaguchi in the Emperor Cup, played at Shiranami Stadium.

Current form

Kagoshima United, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Nara Club, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Renofa Yamaguchi, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Ryukyu, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kagoshima United, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Renofa Yamaguchi 2–1 Kagoshima United. The last 2 head-to-heads: Kagoshima United 1 win, Renofa Yamaguchi 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kagoshima United 1.7 xG, Renofa Yamaguchi 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kagoshima United 60%, draw 21%, Renofa Yamaguchi 20%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kagoshima United 1–0 Renofa Yamaguchi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kagoshima United60%fair 1.67 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.45
Renofa Yamaguchi20%fair 5.12 · @4.80
2.58Expected goals
1.73Kagoshima United xG
0.85Renofa Yamaguchi xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Kagoshima United 1.7 – 0.8 Renofa Yamaguchi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKagoshima United to win ✓60%1.671.67
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓80%1.241.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.911.85
Draw no betKagoshima United (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapRenofa Yamaguchi +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreKagoshima United to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United ✓36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.38–

Recent results

Kagoshima United – last 6

WWWDWW
16 Aug@ Nara Club3–1W
8 Augvs Thespakusatsu Gunma1–0W
7 Jun@ Blaublitz Akita2–0W
30 May@ Albirex Niigata0–0D
24 May@ Kitakyushu5–1W
17 Mayvs Roasso Kumamoto2–1W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Renofa Yamaguchi – last 6

WLLDLW
15 Augvs FC Ryukyu1–0W
8 Aug@ Parceiro Nagano0–1L
6 Jun@ Yokohama FC1–2L
30 May@ Kochi United2–2D
9 Mayvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–1L
6 May@ Biwako Shiga4–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Apr 2026Renofa Yamaguchi v Kagoshima United2–1
22 Feb 2026Kagoshima United v Renofa Yamaguchi1–0
Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi head-to-head page →

More Emperor Cup predictions

League hub
FT FC Tokushima1 Kawasoe Club0 170%1.19X18%6.20211%11.50 2.5–0.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.42 ✗
FT Gainare Tottori1 Roasso Kumamoto1 Pens 6–5 138%2.50X24%3.00237%2.78 1.1–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.45 ✓
FT Kitakyushu1 Okinawa SV1 AET 1–2 161%1.94X18%3.55221%3.40 1.7–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Nara Club1 Osaka4 124%3.35X23%3.25253%2.06 0.9–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗
FT Tochigi SC2 Urayasu0 161%1.67X22%3.45218%5.00 1.7–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Veroskronos Tsuno1 Kamatamare Sanuki1 AET 3–1 112%6.60X19%4.90269%1.36 0.8–2.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Verspah Oita3 Kochi United0 118%3.75X26%3.50257%1.86 0.8–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

On our numbers Kagoshima United have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Renofa Yamaguchi 20%.

How many goals will there be in Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Our predicted score is Kagoshima United 1–0 Renofa Yamaguchi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Shiranami Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.