Value bet: Alianza Universidad to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSantos to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.98
Santos vs Alianza Universidad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Monday 17 August: Santos v Alianza Universidad in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Municipal de Nasca. In the table, Santos are 6th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Alianza Universidad are 5th (upper half) with 21. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Santos, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sport Huancayo 2, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Alianza Universidad, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sport Huancayo 2, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Alianza Universidad 1–2 Santos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos 1.2 xG, Alianza Universidad 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos 43%, draw 23%, Alianza Universidad 34%.
Price worth noting: Alianza Universidad to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos 1–1 Alianza Universidad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos43%fair 2.34 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Alianza Universidad34%fair 2.91 · @3.25
2.28Expected goals
1.22Santos xG
1.05Alianza Universidad xG
44%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Santos 1.2 – 1.1 Alianza Universidad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santos vs Alianza Universidad?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Santos vs Alianza Universidad?
On our numbers Santos have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alianza Universidad 34%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs Alianza Universidad?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs Alianza Universidad?
Our predicted score is Santos 1–1 Alianza Universidad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Santos vs Alianza Universidad?
Santos vs Alianza Universidad (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Nasca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Union Comercio2