Chelsea W 76%Draw 18%Real Sociedad W 6%Expected goals 2.65 – 0.73
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChelsea W to win ✓76% · @1.13
Double chanceChelsea W or draw ✓94% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.47
Chelsea W vs Real Sociedad W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Sociedad W travel to face Chelsea W on Wednesday 26 August in the UEFA Champions League Women, with Wheatsheaf Park the venue – the ball rolls at 18:45 WAT.
Current form
Chelsea W, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Everton W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Real Sociedad W, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atletico Madrid W, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelsea W 2.6 xG, Real Sociedad W 0.7 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelsea W 76%, draw 18%, Real Sociedad W 6%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelsea W 3–0 Real Sociedad W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelsea W76%fair 1.31 · @1.13
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @6.40
Real Sociedad W6%fair 17.10 · @16.00
3.37Expected goals
2.65Chelsea W xG
0.73Real Sociedad W xG
52%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–011%
1–09%
2–19%
3–18%
4–07%
From our goals model: Chelsea W 2.6 – 0.7 Real Sociedad W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelsea W to win✓
76%
1.31
1.13
Double chance
Chelsea W or draw✓
94%
1.06
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Chelsea W (draw no bet)✓
93%
1.08
–
Asian handicap
Chelsea W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.28
First team to score
Chelsea W to score first
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Chelsea W ahead at half-time✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelsea W / FT Chelsea W✗
54%
1.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
Chelsea W – last 6
WWWWLW
26 Apr
@ Everton W
4–1
W
6 Apr
vs Tottenham Hotspur W
2–1
W
1 Apr
vs Arsenal W
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Aston Villa W
4–3
W
24 Mar
@ Arsenal W
1–3
L
18 Mar
vs Brighton W
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Real Sociedad W – last 6
WLWWWD
31 May
vs Atletico Madrid W
2–0
W
27 May
@ Barcelona W
1–2
L
9 May
vs Granada
3–0
W
3 May
@ Deportivo de La Coruña W
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ Alhama
5–1
W
29 Mar
vs Edf Logrono W
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelsea W and Real Sociedad W.
What is the prediction for Chelsea W vs Real Sociedad W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Chelsea W vs Real Sociedad W?
On our numbers Chelsea W have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Real Sociedad W 6%.
How many goals will there be in Chelsea W vs Real Sociedad W?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea W vs Real Sociedad W?
Our predicted score is Chelsea W 3–0 Real Sociedad W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Chelsea W vs Real Sociedad W?
Chelsea W vs Real Sociedad W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Wheatsheaf Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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