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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ajax W v Real Madrid W: numbers & prediction

UEFA Champions League Women · Europe · Sportpark De Toekomst

Ajax W

WWWWW
0–2
FT

Real Madrid W

WWWLL
Ajax W 11%Draw 18%Real Madrid W 71% Expected goals 0.57 – 1.93
71%
Betarazi pick

Real Madrid W to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Madrid W to win ✓71% · @1.35
Double chanceReal Madrid W or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.47

Ajax W vs Real Madrid W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 26 August the UEFA Champions League Women brings Ajax W against Real Madrid W at Sportpark De Toekomst. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT.

Current form

Ajax W, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over PEC Zwolle W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Real Madrid W, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Granada, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ajax W, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for Real Madrid W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ajax W 0.6 xG, Real Madrid W 1.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ajax W 11%, draw 18%, Real Madrid W 71%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Real Madrid W to win (71%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ajax W 0–1 Real Madrid W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ajax W11%fair 9.01 · @6.50
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @4.33
Real Madrid W71%fair 1.41 · @1.35
2.50Expected goals
0.57Ajax W xG
1.93Real Madrid W xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–215%
0–310%
1–19%
1–29%
0–08%

From our goals model: Ajax W 0.6 – 1.9 Real Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Madrid W to win ✓71%1.411.35
Double chanceReal Madrid W or draw ✓89%1.121.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.841.67
Draw no betReal Madrid W (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapReal Madrid W -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreReal Madrid W to score first ✓71%1.41–
Half-time resultReal Madrid W ahead at half-time ✓49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Madrid W / FT Real Madrid W ✓45%2.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.47–

Recent results

Ajax W – last 6

WWWWWW
22 Augvs PEC Zwolle W1–0W
16 Aug@ Utrecht W1–0W
8 Augvs Rangers W2–1W
5 Augvs Brøndby W2–0W
22 May@ Heerenveen W3–1W
8 Mayvs AZ3–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Madrid W – last 6

WWWLLL
31 Mayvs Granada2–0W
26 May@ FC Levante Badalona4–0W
5 Apr@ Madrid CFF W2–0W
2 Apr@ Barcelona W0–6L
29 Marvs Barcelona W0–3L
25 Marvs Barcelona W2–6L
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ajax W and Real Madrid W.

Ajax W vs Real Madrid W head-to-head page →

UEFA Champions League Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona W3300+179
2Bayern Munich W4220+48
3Chelsea W4220+38
4Lyon W3210+147
5Arsenal W3210+47
6Juventus W3201+56
7Manchester City W4130+36
8Real Madrid W4130+36
9Paris Saint Germain W4121+45
10Roma W4112-74
11Inter Milano W4112-84
12Køge W3102-53
13SL Benfica W3102-53
14Servette Chênois W4103-93
15Häcken W4022-42
16Paris FC W4022-62
17Austria Wien W3012-41
18OH Leuven W3012-91

More UEFA Champions League Women predictions

League hub
FT VfL Wolfsburg W2 Inter Milano W0 166%1.40X15%5.25219%4.75 2.4–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.36 ✗
FT Eintracht Frankfurt W1 Paris Saint Germain W1 129%2.10X50%3.55221%2.88 2.1–1.9xG 1XEintracht Frankfurt W or draw 79%@1.30 ✓
FT PSVEindhoven W0 Køge W1 159%1.80X18%3.50223%3.40 2.6–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.50 ✗
FT Chelsea W5 Real Sociedad W2 176%1.13X18%6.4026%16.00 2.6–0.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.42 ✓
FT St. Pölten W0 Juventus W3 18%18.00X16%6.75275%1.11 0.9–2.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ajax W vs Real Madrid W?

Our pick is Real Madrid W to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Ajax W vs Real Madrid W?

On our numbers Ajax W have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Real Madrid W 71%.

How many goals will there be in Ajax W vs Real Madrid W?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ajax W vs Real Madrid W?

Our predicted score is Ajax W 0–1 Real Madrid W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Ajax W vs Real Madrid W?

Ajax W vs Real Madrid W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Toekomst.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.