Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.21
Alessandria vs Sestri Levante: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Alessandria v Sestri Levante in the Serie D Girone A, played at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta. In the table, Alessandria are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 11 matches; Sestri Levante are 12th (lower half) with 13. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sestri Levante, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Asti, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alessandria 1.3 xG, Sestri Levante 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alessandria 42%, draw 23%, Sestri Levante 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alessandria 1–1 Sestri Levante. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alessandria42%fair 2.38 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Sestri Levante35%fair 2.82 · @2.90
2.50Expected goals
1.32Alessandria xG
1.18Sestri Levante xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Alessandria 1.3 – 1.2 Sestri Levante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alessandria to win✓
42%
2.38
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Alessandria (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Sestri Levante +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Alessandria to score first
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alessandria / FT Alessandria✓
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.21
–
Recent results
Alessandria – last 1
W
6 Sep
@ Valenzana
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sestri Levante – last 6
WWLLLW
6 Sep
vs Asti
2–0
W
19 Aug
@ Sampdoria U20
4–1
W
3 May
vs Sanremese
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Celle Varazze
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Asti
1–2
L
2 Apr
vs NovaRomentin
5–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alessandria and Sestri Levante.
What is the prediction for Alessandria vs Sestri Levante?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Alessandria vs Sestri Levante?
On our numbers Alessandria have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sestri Levante 35%.
How many goals will there be in Alessandria vs Sestri Levante?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alessandria vs Sestri Levante?
Our predicted score is Alessandria 1–1 Sestri Levante, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Alessandria vs Sestri Levante?
Alessandria vs Sestri Levante (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
