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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Derthona v Imperia: numbers & prediction

1–1
FT

Imperia

WLLDD
Derthona 41%Draw 23%Imperia 36% Expected goals 0.88 – 0.79
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultDerthona to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.02

Derthona vs Imperia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Imperia travel to face Derthona on Sunday 13 September in the Serie D Girone A – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Derthona are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Imperia are 9th (upper half) with 15.

Current form

Derthona, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Celle Varazze, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Imperia, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Millesimo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Derthona 0–0 Imperia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Derthona 0.9 xG, Imperia 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Derthona 41%, draw 23%, Imperia 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derthona 0–0 Imperia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Derthona41%fair 2.45 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Imperia36%fair 2.79 · @2.60
1.66Expected goals
0.88Derthona xG
0.79Imperia xG
40%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–019%
1–017%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Derthona 0.9 – 0.8 Imperia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDerthona to win ✗41%2.452.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗60%1.66–
Draw no betDerthona (draw no bet)53%1.88–
Asian handicapImperia +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗51%1.98–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.471.60 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreDerthona to score first ✓43%2.34–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗55%1.83–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗27%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%6.02–

Recent results

Derthona – last 6

WDDDLL
6 Sep@ Celle Varazze1–0W
10 Mayvs Gozzano1–1D
3 May@ Saluzzo1–1D
26 Aprvs Imperia0–0D
19 Apr@ Città di Varese0–1L
2 Aprvs Celle Varazze0–3L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Imperia – last 6

WLLDDD
6 Sepvs Millesimo1–0W
9 Aug@ Pro Patria1–2L
3 Mayvs Celle Varazze0–1L
26 Apr@ Derthona0–0D
19 Aprvs Sanremese2–2D
2 Aprvs Asti2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Derthona v Imperia0–0
Derthona vs Imperia head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alessandria111001+1230
2Chisola11632+1221
3Biellese11632+1021
4Derthona11542+119
5Ligorna11533+518
6Millesimo11524+617
7Sanremese11452+417
8Saluzzo11362+115
9Imperia11434+115
10Asti11425-214
11Gozzano11425-414
12Sestri Levante11344-213
13Borgosesia11344-213
14Lascaris11335-512
15Fezzanese11326-711
16Bra11245-710
17Valenzana11137-86
18Celle Varazze11119-154

More Serie D Girone A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Derthona vs Imperia?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Derthona vs Imperia?

On our numbers Derthona have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Imperia 36%.

How many goals will there be in Derthona vs Imperia?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Derthona vs Imperia?

Our predicted score is Derthona 0–0 Imperia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Derthona vs Imperia?

Derthona vs Imperia (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.