Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultDerthona to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.02
Derthona vs Imperia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Imperia travel to face Derthona on Sunday 13 September in the Serie D Girone A – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Derthona are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Imperia are 9th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Derthona, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Celle Varazze, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Imperia, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Millesimo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Derthona 0–0 Imperia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derthona 0.9 xG, Imperia 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derthona 41%, draw 23%, Imperia 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derthona 0–0 Imperia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derthona41%fair 2.45 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Imperia36%fair 2.79 · @2.60
1.66Expected goals
0.88Derthona xG
0.79Imperia xG
40%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–019%
1–017%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Derthona 0.9 – 0.8 Imperia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Derthona vs Imperia?
On our numbers Derthona have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Imperia 36%.
How many goals will there be in Derthona vs Imperia?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derthona vs Imperia?
Our predicted score is Derthona 0–0 Imperia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Derthona vs Imperia?
Derthona vs Imperia (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.