Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultLigorna to win ✗67% · @1.55
Double chanceLigorna or draw ✗86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.24
Ligorna vs Derthona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ligorna welcome Derthona for a Serie D Girone A fixture on Wednesday 16 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Ligorna are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Derthona are 4th (among the top four) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ligorna, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Biellese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.
Derthona, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Imperia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ligorna, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Derthona.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ligorna 1.9 xG, Derthona 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ligorna 67%, draw 19%, Derthona 14%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ligorna to win (67%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ligorna 1–0 Derthona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ligorna67%fair 1.50 · @1.55
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @3.60
Derthona14%fair 7.27 · @5.25
2.63Expected goals
1.92Ligorna xG
0.71Derthona xG
44%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ligorna 1.9 – 0.7 Derthona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ligorna to win✗
67%
1.50
1.55
Double chance
Ligorna or draw✗
86%
1.16
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Ligorna (draw no bet)✗
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Ligorna -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Ligorna to score first
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Ligorna ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.24
–
Recent results
Ligorna – last 6
LDWWWD
13 Sep
@ Biellese
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Sanremese
2–2
D
17 May
vs Città di Varese
5–3
W
10 May
vs Chisola
1–0
W
3 May
vs NovaRomentin
9–1
W
26 Apr
@ Asti
1–1
D
3.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Derthona – last 6
DWDDDL
13 Sep
vs Imperia
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Celle Varazze
1–0
W
10 May
vs Gozzano
1–1
D
3 May
@ Saluzzo
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Imperia
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Città di Varese
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ligorna and Derthona.
Our pick is Ligorna to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Ligorna vs Derthona?
On our numbers Ligorna have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Derthona 14%.
How many goals will there be in Ligorna vs Derthona?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ligorna vs Derthona?
Our predicted score is Ligorna 1–0 Derthona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ligorna vs Derthona?
Ligorna vs Derthona (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
