Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlessandria to win ✗59% · @1.60
Double chanceAlessandria or draw ✗82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.94
Millesimo vs Alessandria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Millesimo welcome Alessandria for a Serie D Girone A fixture on Wednesday 16 September (14:00 WAT). In the table, Millesimo are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Alessandria are 1st (leading the league) with 30. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Millesimo 0.8 xG, Alessandria 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Millesimo 18%, draw 23%, Alessandria 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Alessandria to win (59%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Millesimo 0–1 Alessandria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Millesimo18%fair 5.60 · @4.75
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.60
Alessandria59%fair 1.70 · @1.60
2.45Expected goals
0.78Millesimo xG
1.66Alessandria xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: Millesimo 0.8 – 1.7 Alessandria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alessandria to win✗
59%
1.70
1.60
Double chance
Alessandria or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Alessandria (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Millesimo +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Alessandria to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alessandria / FT Alessandria✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.94
–
Recent results
Millesimo – last 2
WL
12 Sep
vs Valenzana
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Imperia
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alessandria – last 2
WW
13 Sep
vs Sestri Levante
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Valenzana
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millesimo and Alessandria.
What is the prediction for Millesimo vs Alessandria?
Our pick is Alessandria to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Millesimo vs Alessandria?
On our numbers Millesimo have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alessandria 59%.
How many goals will there be in Millesimo vs Alessandria?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millesimo vs Alessandria?
Our predicted score is Millesimo 0–1 Alessandria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Millesimo vs Alessandria?
Millesimo vs Alessandria (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
